Byron Donalds secured the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination with a commanding primary victory, leaving James Fishback with roughly 10.5 percent of the vote as the third-place finisher. Trader consensus around a 10–15 percent share for Fishback reflects consistent pre-election polling averages near 9–12 percent, Fishback’s limited fundraising and name recognition relative to Donalds (backed early by President Trump) and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, and the impact of party disputes that excluded him from official debates. His social media-focused campaign drew attention from some younger and nontraditional Republican voters but faced barriers from residency challenges, criticism over rhetoric, and a crowded field emphasizing establishment alignment. Late certification disputes or significant vote-count adjustments remain the primary scenarios that could still shift final tallies within the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于菲什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
菲什巴克低于10% 1.1%
菲什巴克 25–30% 1.1%
菲什巴克30%+ <1%
$354,814 交易量
$354,814 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
1%
菲什巴克 10–15%
99%
菲什巴克15–20%
<1%
菲什巴克 20–25%
<1%
菲什巴克 25–30%
1%
菲什巴克30%+
<1%
菲什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
菲什巴克低于10% 1.1%
菲什巴克 25–30% 1.1%
菲什巴克30%+ <1%
$354,814 交易量
$354,814 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
$260,106 交易量
1%
菲什巴克 10–15%
$24,496 交易量
99%
菲什巴克15–20%
$13,551 交易量
<1%
菲什巴克 20–25%
$17,597 交易量
<1%
菲什巴克 25–30%
$10,466 交易量
1%
菲什巴克30%+
$28,599 交易量
<1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination with a commanding primary victory, leaving James Fishback with roughly 10.5 percent of the vote as the third-place finisher. Trader consensus around a 10–15 percent share for Fishback reflects consistent pre-election polling averages near 9–12 percent, Fishback’s limited fundraising and name recognition relative to Donalds (backed early by President Trump) and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, and the impact of party disputes that excluded him from official debates. His social media-focused campaign drew attention from some younger and nontraditional Republican voters but faced barriers from residency challenges, criticism over rhetoric, and a crowded field emphasizing establishment alignment. Late certification disputes or significant vote-count adjustments remain the primary scenarios that could still shift final tallies within the narrow band.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$354,814结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination with a commanding primary victory, leaving James Fishback with roughly 10.5 percent of the vote as the third-place finisher. Trader consensus around a 10–15 percent share for Fishback reflects consistent pre-election polling averages near 9–12 percent, Fishback’s limited fundraising and name recognition relative to Donalds (backed early by President Trump) and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, and the impact of party disputes that excluded him from official debates. His social media-focused campaign drew attention from some younger and nontraditional Republican voters but faced barriers from residency challenges, criticism over rhetoric, and a crowded field emphasizing establishment alignment. Late certification disputes or significant vote-count adjustments remain the primary scenarios that could still shift final tallies within the narrow band.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$354,814结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds secured the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial nomination with a commanding primary victory, leaving James Fishback with roughly 10.5 percent of the vote as the third-place finisher. Trader consensus around a 10–15 percent share for Fishback reflects consistent pre-election polling averages near 9–12 percent, Fishback’s limited fundraising and name recognition relative to Donalds (backed early by President Trump) and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, and the impact of party disputes that excluded him from official debates. His social media-focused campaign drew attention from some younger and nontraditional Republican voters but faced barriers from residency challenges, criticism over rhetoric, and a crowded field emphasizing establishment alignment. Late certification disputes or significant vote-count adjustments remain the primary scenarios that could still shift final tallies within the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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