**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, a role he has held since February 2025 under President Trump.** Recent developments show him actively engaged in trade policy, tariff implementation, semiconductor restrictions, and international meetings such as the G20 Innovation Ministerial in early September 2026. Although House Democrats called for his resignation in May 2026 over past Epstein-related statements, Trump publicly reaffirmed support, and no subsequent administration actions or Senate moves have signaled removal. Trader consensus at 92% for “No” by October 31 reflects the absence of credible indicators that the president intends to replace a key cabinet official overseeing tariffs, investment promotion, and Commerce Department operations in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-31
是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, a role he has held since February 2025 under President Trump.** Recent developments show him actively engaged in trade policy, tariff implementation, semiconductor restrictions, and international meetings such as the G20 Innovation Ministerial in early September 2026. Although House Democrats called for his resignation in May 2026 over past Epstein-related statements, Trump publicly reaffirmed support, and no subsequent administration actions or Senate moves have signaled removal. Trader consensus at 92% for “No” by October 31 reflects the absence of credible indicators that the president intends to replace a key cabinet official overseeing tariffs, investment promotion, and Commerce Department operations in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, a role he has held since February 2025 under President Trump.** Recent developments show him actively engaged in trade policy, tariff implementation, semiconductor restrictions, and international meetings such as the G20 Innovation Ministerial in early September 2026. Although House Democrats called for his resignation in May 2026 over past Epstein-related statements, Trump publicly reaffirmed support, and no subsequent administration actions or Senate moves have signaled removal. Trader consensus at 92% for “No” by October 31 reflects the absence of credible indicators that the president intends to replace a key cabinet official overseeing tariffs, investment promotion, and Commerce Department operations in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, a role he has held since February 2025 under President Trump.** Recent developments show him actively engaged in trade policy, tariff implementation, semiconductor restrictions, and international meetings such as the G20 Innovation Ministerial in early September 2026. Although House Democrats called for his resignation in May 2026 over past Epstein-related statements, Trump publicly reaffirmed support, and no subsequent administration actions or Senate moves have signaled removal. Trader consensus at 92% for “No” by October 31 reflects the absence of credible indicators that the president intends to replace a key cabinet official overseeing tariffs, investment promotion, and Commerce Department operations in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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