Saudi Arabia reported intercepting a Houthi drone south of Mecca on September 16, 2026, accusing the Iran-aligned group of targeting Islam’s holiest city for the first time since a 2017 missile attempt. Coalition officials labeled the security of the holy sites and pilgrims a “red line” and warned of deterrent measures, prompting condemnation from the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation and several Muslim governments. The Houthis denied any intent to strike Mecca, stating their operations target Saudi military and energy sites in retaliation for recent airstrikes, while rejecting the claims as fabrications. The incident unfolded amid intensified cross-border exchanges, Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, and broader regional tensions that have heightened scrutiny of further Houthi capabilities or intentions toward Saudi territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
6%
10月31日
8%
12月31日
9%
$1,624 交易量
9月30日
$389 交易量
6%
10月31日
$347 交易量
8%
12月31日
$888 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Mecca by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.Saudi Arabia reported intercepting a Houthi drone south of Mecca on September 16, 2026, accusing the Iran-aligned group of targeting Islam’s holiest city for the first time since a 2017 missile attempt. Coalition officials labeled the security of the holy sites and pilgrims a “red line” and warned of deterrent measures, prompting condemnation from the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation and several Muslim governments. The Houthis denied any intent to strike Mecca, stating their operations target Saudi military and energy sites in retaliation for recent airstrikes, while rejecting the claims as fabrications. The incident unfolded amid intensified cross-border exchanges, Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, and broader regional tensions that have heightened scrutiny of further Houthi capabilities or intentions toward Saudi territory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Mecca by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,624结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 10:52 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Mecca by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.Saudi Arabia reported intercepting a Houthi drone south of Mecca on September 16, 2026, accusing the Iran-aligned group of targeting Islam’s holiest city for the first time since a 2017 missile attempt. Coalition officials labeled the security of the holy sites and pilgrims a “red line” and warned of deterrent measures, prompting condemnation from the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation and several Muslim governments. The Houthis denied any intent to strike Mecca, stating their operations target Saudi military and energy sites in retaliation for recent airstrikes, while rejecting the claims as fabrications. The incident unfolded amid intensified cross-border exchanges, Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, and broader regional tensions that have heightened scrutiny of further Houthi capabilities or intentions toward Saudi territory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Mecca by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
"Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al-Haram) established and maintained by Saudi authorities. Mecca's airspace is not encompassed. A strike whose point of impact cannot be clearly established to lie within this area does not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,624结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 10:52 AM ETSaudi Arabia reported intercepting a Houthi drone south of Mecca on September 16, 2026, accusing the Iran-aligned group of targeting Islam’s holiest city for the first time since a 2017 missile attempt. Coalition officials labeled the security of the holy sites and pilgrims a “red line” and warned of deterrent measures, prompting condemnation from the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation and several Muslim governments. The Houthis denied any intent to strike Mecca, stating their operations target Saudi military and energy sites in retaliation for recent airstrikes, while rejecting the claims as fabrications. The incident unfolded amid intensified cross-border exchanges, Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, and broader regional tensions that have heightened scrutiny of further Houthi capabilities or intentions toward Saudi territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题