**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions a 21°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, driving the 51.5% market-implied probability.** High pressure near 1025–1026 hPa and light westerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are limiting strong warming or cooling, with morning lows near 10–12°C and afternoon peaks expected around 19–22°C according to GFS, ECMWF, and local observations. September climatology shows typical highs of 16–20°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection. Hourly data indicate the temperature cresting near 21–22°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, creating tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes while leaving limited room for 22°C or higher. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between leading forecasts and the absence of significant model disagreement or frontal activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日华沙最高气温？
9月7日华沙最高气温？
20℃ 59%
21°C 37%
22°C 5%
19°C 4%
最新
$12,324 交易量
最新
$12,324 交易量
2026-09-07
15℃或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20℃
59%
21°C
37%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20℃ 59%
21°C 37%
22°C 5%
19°C 4%
最新
$12,324 交易量
最新
$12,324 交易量
2026-09-07
15℃或以下
$386 交易量
<1%
16°C
$75 交易量
<1%
17°C
$345 交易量
<1%
18°C
$459 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,220 交易量
4%
20℃
$4,352 交易量
59%
21°C
$3,042 交易量
37%
22°C
$1,086 交易量
5%
23°C
$822 交易量
1%
24°C
$298 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$239 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions a 21°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, driving the 51.5% market-implied probability.** High pressure near 1025–1026 hPa and light westerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are limiting strong warming or cooling, with morning lows near 10–12°C and afternoon peaks expected around 19–22°C according to GFS, ECMWF, and local observations. September climatology shows typical highs of 16–20°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection. Hourly data indicate the temperature cresting near 21–22°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, creating tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes while leaving limited room for 22°C or higher. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between leading forecasts and the absence of significant model disagreement or frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,324结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions a 21°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, driving the 51.5% market-implied probability.** High pressure near 1025–1026 hPa and light westerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are limiting strong warming or cooling, with morning lows near 10–12°C and afternoon peaks expected around 19–22°C according to GFS, ECMWF, and local observations. September climatology shows typical highs of 16–20°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection. Hourly data indicate the temperature cresting near 21–22°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, creating tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes while leaving limited room for 22°C or higher. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between leading forecasts and the absence of significant model disagreement or frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,324结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions a 21°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, driving the 51.5% market-implied probability.** High pressure near 1025–1026 hPa and light westerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are limiting strong warming or cooling, with morning lows near 10–12°C and afternoon peaks expected around 19–22°C according to GFS, ECMWF, and local observations. September climatology shows typical highs of 16–20°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection. Hourly data indicate the temperature cresting near 21–22°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, creating tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes while leaving limited room for 22°C or higher. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between leading forecasts and the absence of significant model disagreement or frontal activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题