**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 5 highest temperature centers on 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (24.5%), with 20°C a distant third at 13%.** Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon temperatures peaking near 20–22°C under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds of 20–30 km/h. Official guidance and station data indicate the daily maximum is most likely to settle at or just above 21°C, consistent with the strong market weighting. Climatological norms for early September place average highs around 18–20°C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal conditions driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern rather than anomalous warmth. Minor model spread and the possibility of brief showers or increased cloud cover introduce limited downside risk to 20°C, while the low probabilities on 23°C+ reflect the absence of stronger southerly advection or clearer skies that would support further warming. With the day progressing and resolution imminent, updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine whether the outcome locks at 21°C or edges to 22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日华沙最高气温？
9月5日华沙最高气温？
21°C 69%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
23°C <1%
$17,063 交易量
$17,063 交易量
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
20%
21°C
69%
22°C
16%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
21°C 69%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
23°C <1%
$17,063 交易量
$17,063 交易量
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$513 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,808 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,951 交易量
20%
21°C
$3,562 交易量
69%
22°C
$2,733 交易量
16%
23°C
$945 交易量
<1%
24°C
$470 交易量
<1%
25°C
$527 交易量
<1%
26°C
$165 交易量
<1%
27°C
$195 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$195 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 5 highest temperature centers on 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (24.5%), with 20°C a distant third at 13%.**
Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon temperatures peaking near 20–22°C under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds of 20–30 km/h. Official guidance and station data indicate the daily maximum is most likely to settle at or just above 21°C, consistent with the strong market weighting.
Climatological norms for early September place average highs around 18–20°C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal conditions driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern rather than anomalous warmth. Minor model spread and the possibility of brief showers or increased cloud cover introduce limited downside risk to 20°C, while the low probabilities on 23°C+ reflect the absence of stronger southerly advection or clearer skies that would support further warming.
With the day progressing and resolution imminent, updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine whether the outcome locks at 21°C or edges to 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$17,063结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 5 highest temperature centers on 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (24.5%), with 20°C a distant third at 13%.**
Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon temperatures peaking near 20–22°C under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds of 20–30 km/h. Official guidance and station data indicate the daily maximum is most likely to settle at or just above 21°C, consistent with the strong market weighting.
Climatological norms for early September place average highs around 18–20°C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal conditions driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern rather than anomalous warmth. Minor model spread and the possibility of brief showers or increased cloud cover introduce limited downside risk to 20°C, while the low probabilities on 23°C+ reflect the absence of stronger southerly advection or clearer skies that would support further warming.
With the day progressing and resolution imminent, updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine whether the outcome locks at 21°C or edges to 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,063结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 5 highest temperature centers on 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (24.5%), with 20°C a distant third at 13%.** Current observations and short-range model runs show afternoon temperatures peaking near 20–22°C under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds of 20–30 km/h. Official guidance and station data indicate the daily maximum is most likely to settle at or just above 21°C, consistent with the strong market weighting. Climatological norms for early September place average highs around 18–20°C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal conditions driven by the prevailing synoptic pattern rather than anomalous warmth. Minor model spread and the possibility of brief showers or increased cloud cover introduce limited downside risk to 20°C, while the low probabilities on 23°C+ reflect the absence of stronger southerly advection or clearer skies that would support further warming. With the day progressing and resolution imminent, updated surface observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine whether the outcome locks at 21°C or edges to 22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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