Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in Chongqing on September 11, 2026, rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. September marks a seasonal transition in the region, with typical daytime highs moderating from summer peaks above 30°C toward the monthly average near 27°C, aided by increased cloud cover and higher humidity that limit solar heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome with minimal spread, consistent with recent observational trends showing stable conditions rather than late-season warming. Resolution hinges on verified daily maximum data from the designated meteorological source, where only an unexpected data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日重庆气温最高？
9月11日重庆气温最高？
24°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,943 交易量
$30,943 交易量
2026-09-11
23°C或以下
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,943 交易量
$30,943 交易量
2026-09-11
23°C或以下
$8,477 交易量
否
24°C
$5,203 交易量
是
25°C
$3,690 交易量
否
26°C
$1,684 交易量
否
27°C
$3,723 交易量
否
28°C
$3,946 交易量
否
29°C
$925 交易量
否
30°C
$1,555 交易量
否
31°C
$1,176 交易量
否
32°C
$266 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$297 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in Chongqing on September 11, 2026, rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. September marks a seasonal transition in the region, with typical daytime highs moderating from summer peaks above 30°C toward the monthly average near 27°C, aided by increased cloud cover and higher humidity that limit solar heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome with minimal spread, consistent with recent observational trends showing stable conditions rather than late-season warming. Resolution hinges on verified daily maximum data from the designated meteorological source, where only an unexpected data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$30,943结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in Chongqing on September 11, 2026, rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. September marks a seasonal transition in the region, with typical daytime highs moderating from summer peaks above 30°C toward the monthly average near 27°C, aided by increased cloud cover and higher humidity that limit solar heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome with minimal spread, consistent with recent observational trends showing stable conditions rather than late-season warming. Resolution hinges on verified daily maximum data from the designated meteorological source, where only an unexpected data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,943结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in Chongqing on September 11, 2026, rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. September marks a seasonal transition in the region, with typical daytime highs moderating from summer peaks above 30°C toward the monthly average near 27°C, aided by increased cloud cover and higher humidity that limit solar heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome with minimal spread, consistent with recent observational trends showing stable conditions rather than late-season warming. Resolution hinges on verified daily maximum data from the designated meteorological source, where only an unexpected data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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