The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability in the Emmys Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched scale as a live broadcast, drawing record viewership and showcasing high-production musical performances by a global superstar. Traders see this as aligning with historical patterns where the halftime show frequently sweeps the category due to its cultural reach and technical execution. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail far behind at single-digit odds, reflecting their more limited live-variety focus or different broadcast formats. An upset would require an unforeseen standout live event from one of those ceremonies that captures significant guild or academy attention before voting closes, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种特辑（现场）
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种特辑（现场）
超级碗LX中场秀（Bad Bunny主演） 97.4%
奥斯卡金像奖 2.9%
托尼奖 <1%
金球奖 <1%
$65,332 交易量
$65,332 交易量
2026-09-14
超级碗LX中场秀（Bad Bunny主演）
97%
奥斯卡金像奖
3%
托尼奖
1%
金球奖
<1%
格莱美奖
<1%
超级碗LX中场秀（Bad Bunny主演） 97.4%
奥斯卡金像奖 2.9%
托尼奖 <1%
金球奖 <1%
$65,332 交易量
$65,332 交易量
2026-09-14
超级碗LX中场秀（Bad Bunny主演）
$50,721 交易量
97%
奥斯卡金像奖
$7,194 交易量
3%
托尼奖
$2,763 交易量
1%
金球奖
$2,442 交易量
<1%
格莱美奖
$2,212 交易量
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability in the Emmys Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched scale as a live broadcast, drawing record viewership and showcasing high-production musical performances by a global superstar. Traders see this as aligning with historical patterns where the halftime show frequently sweeps the category due to its cultural reach and technical execution. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail far behind at single-digit odds, reflecting their more limited live-variety focus or different broadcast formats. An upset would require an unforeseen standout live event from one of those ceremonies that captures significant guild or academy attention before voting closes, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
交易量
$65,332结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability in the Emmys Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched scale as a live broadcast, drawing record viewership and showcasing high-production musical performances by a global superstar. Traders see this as aligning with historical patterns where the halftime show frequently sweeps the category due to its cultural reach and technical execution. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail far behind at single-digit odds, reflecting their more limited live-variety focus or different broadcast formats. An upset would require an unforeseen standout live event from one of those ceremonies that captures significant guild or academy attention before voting closes, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65,332结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETThe Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability in the Emmys Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market because of its unmatched scale as a live broadcast, drawing record viewership and showcasing high-production musical performances by a global superstar. Traders see this as aligning with historical patterns where the halftime show frequently sweeps the category due to its cultural reach and technical execution. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail far behind at single-digit odds, reflecting their more limited live-variety focus or different broadcast formats. An upset would require an unforeseen standout live event from one of those ceremonies that captures significant guild or academy attention before voting closes, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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