Traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bucket as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity from August 8-10 because recent short-period tracking shows weekend daily averages of 13-21 posts, producing totals squarely in that band. Observed patterns from early August—including 50 tweets on August 5—reflect routine replies, Grok feature promotions, and Starlink commentary rather than viral threads or major company news that could push volume higher. With the window falling over a weekend and no confirmed regulatory, product, or personal milestones on the horizon, the market-implied odds capture a stable cadence without the spikes seen in busier news cycles. A shift below 40 or into higher ranges would require an unexpected offline stretch or sustained engagement spree that has not materialized so far.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 56%
少于40条 22%
65-89 18%
90-114 3.8%
$134,857 交易量
$134,857 交易量
2026-08-10
少于40条
22%
40-64
56%
65-89
18%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
少于40条 22%
65-89 18%
90-114 3.8%
$134,857 交易量
$134,857 交易量
2026-08-10
少于40条
$27,022 交易量
22%
40-64
$15,163 交易量
56%
65-89
$17,304 交易量
18%
90-114
$19,985 交易量
4%
115-139
$18,252 交易量
1%
140-164
$10,688 交易量
<1%
165-189
$11,580 交易量
<1%
190-214
$3,943 交易量
<1%
215-239
$5,406 交易量
<1%
240+
$5,514 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bucket as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity from August 8-10 because recent short-period tracking shows weekend daily averages of 13-21 posts, producing totals squarely in that band. Observed patterns from early August—including 50 tweets on August 5—reflect routine replies, Grok feature promotions, and Starlink commentary rather than viral threads or major company news that could push volume higher. With the window falling over a weekend and no confirmed regulatory, product, or personal milestones on the horizon, the market-implied odds capture a stable cadence without the spikes seen in busier news cycles. A shift below 40 or into higher ranges would require an unexpected offline stretch or sustained engagement spree that has not materialized so far.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$134,857结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bucket as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity from August 8-10 because recent short-period tracking shows weekend daily averages of 13-21 posts, producing totals squarely in that band. Observed patterns from early August—including 50 tweets on August 5—reflect routine replies, Grok feature promotions, and Starlink commentary rather than viral threads or major company news that could push volume higher. With the window falling over a weekend and no confirmed regulatory, product, or personal milestones on the horizon, the market-implied odds capture a stable cadence without the spikes seen in busier news cycles. A shift below 40 or into higher ranges would require an unexpected offline stretch or sustained engagement spree that has not materialized so far.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$134,857结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bucket as the clear favorite for Elon Musk’s activity from August 8-10 because recent short-period tracking shows weekend daily averages of 13-21 posts, producing totals squarely in that band. Observed patterns from early August—including 50 tweets on August 5—reflect routine replies, Grok feature promotions, and Starlink commentary rather than viral threads or major company news that could push volume higher. With the window falling over a weekend and no confirmed regulatory, product, or personal milestones on the horizon, the market-implied odds capture a stable cadence without the spikes seen in busier news cycles. A shift below 40 or into higher ranges would require an unexpected offline stretch or sustained engagement spree that has not materialized so far.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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