Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1000+ 30%
880-919 10%
800-839 8%
840-879 8%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
1%
220-239
1%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
2%
480-499
2%
500-519
5%
520-539
5%
540-559
5%
560-579
5%
580-599
5%
600-619
5%
620-639
5%
640-659
6%
660-679
6%
680-699
6%
700-719
7%
720-739
7%
740-759
7%
760-779
7%
780-799
7%
800-839
8%
840-879
8%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
7%
1000+
34%
1000+ 30%
880-919 10%
800-839 8%
840-879 8%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
1%
220-239
1%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
2%
480-499
2%
500-519
5%
520-539
5%
540-559
5%
560-579
5%
580-599
5%
600-619
5%
620-639
5%
640-659
6%
660-679
6%
680-699
6%
700-719
7%
720-739
7%
740-759
7%
760-779
7%
780-799
7%
800-839
8%
840-879
8%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
7%
1000+
34%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题