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債務上限 預測與賠率

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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

33%

$10.9K 交易量

$192 Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

94%

$40 trillion

$11.1K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

16%

$1.4K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

$15.1K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$600K 交易量

$32.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M 交易量

$75.8K today

$118K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

10%

$109K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

2

Ends 21 天內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

65%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.1K 交易量

$72.7K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

38%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$765 Liq.

5

Ends 7 個月內

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

6%

$2.8K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$767K 交易量

$59.0K today

$378K Liq.

11

Ends 7 個月內

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

81%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$326K 交易量

$49.9K Liq.

12

Ends 5 個月內

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$18.5K 交易量

$22.0K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

42%

180-199

$15.9K 交易量

$30.2K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$15.2K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$10.8K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

8

Ends 9 天前

White House # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

White House # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

61%

180-199

$32.3K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 18 小時內

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

13%

Dong Jun

$168K 交易量

$124K Liq.

17

Ends 7 個月內

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?

98%

$715

$2.4K 交易量

$23.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時內

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$560K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

29

Ends 2 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 債務上限.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for 債務上限 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Pause–Pause–Pause. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 債務上限 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.