Recent U.S. sanctions relief, political transition, and foreign investment inflows have lifted Venezuelan crude output to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. Chevron’s planned $7 billion spend to roughly double its joint-venture production and similar commitments from Eni and others are supporting brownfield gains, aided by higher global prices that facilitate diluent imports and debt recovery. However, extra-heavy Orinoco crudes require costly upgrading infrastructure with multi-year lead times, while rig shortages, logistics bottlenecks, and recent earthquake impacts constrain near-term acceleration. Official targets of 1.37 million barrels per day by year-end contrast with more conservative analyst forecasts of gradual growth toward 1.4 million only by 2028, leaving 2026 outcomes dependent on execution speed and sustained capital access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$184,115 交易量
2027-02-27
120萬
60%
130萬
23%
140萬
8%
150萬
6%
170萬
3%
200萬
2%
$184,115 交易量
120萬
$10,884 交易量
60%
130萬
$7,925 交易量
23%
140萬
$19,774 交易量
8%
150萬
$9,840 交易量
6%
170萬
$59,715 交易量
3%
200萬
$16,339 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief, political transition, and foreign investment inflows have lifted Venezuelan crude output to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. Chevron’s planned $7 billion spend to roughly double its joint-venture production and similar commitments from Eni and others are supporting brownfield gains, aided by higher global prices that facilitate diluent imports and debt recovery. However, extra-heavy Orinoco crudes require costly upgrading infrastructure with multi-year lead times, while rig shortages, logistics bottlenecks, and recent earthquake impacts constrain near-term acceleration. Official targets of 1.37 million barrels per day by year-end contrast with more conservative analyst forecasts of gradual growth toward 1.4 million only by 2028, leaving 2026 outcomes dependent on execution speed and sustained capital access.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
交易量
$184,115結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief, political transition, and foreign investment inflows have lifted Venezuelan crude output to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. Chevron’s planned $7 billion spend to roughly double its joint-venture production and similar commitments from Eni and others are supporting brownfield gains, aided by higher global prices that facilitate diluent imports and debt recovery. However, extra-heavy Orinoco crudes require costly upgrading infrastructure with multi-year lead times, while rig shortages, logistics bottlenecks, and recent earthquake impacts constrain near-term acceleration. Official targets of 1.37 million barrels per day by year-end contrast with more conservative analyst forecasts of gradual growth toward 1.4 million only by 2028, leaving 2026 outcomes dependent on execution speed and sustained capital access.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
交易量
$184,115結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETRecent U.S. sanctions relief, political transition, and foreign investment inflows have lifted Venezuelan crude output to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. Chevron’s planned $7 billion spend to roughly double its joint-venture production and similar commitments from Eni and others are supporting brownfield gains, aided by higher global prices that facilitate diluent imports and debt recovery. However, extra-heavy Orinoco crudes require costly upgrading infrastructure with multi-year lead times, while rig shortages, logistics bottlenecks, and recent earthquake impacts constrain near-term acceleration. Official targets of 1.37 million barrels per day by year-end contrast with more conservative analyst forecasts of gradual growth toward 1.4 million only by 2028, leaving 2026 outcomes dependent on execution speed and sustained capital access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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