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icon for 下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？
政治·卡馬拉

下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？

icon for 下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？
政治·卡馬拉

下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？

是

42% 機率
Polymarket

$12,951 交易量

是

42% 機率
Polymarket

$12,951 交易量

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning in the 2028 cycle shows male contenders such as JD Vance and Gavin Newsom holding stronger shares in prediction markets and national polling aggregates than female options like Kamala Harris or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys place several men atop hypothetical Democratic and Republican fields, while Harris registers single-digit support and Gretchen Whitmer has ruled out a bid. These patterns, combined with the 2024 result and two prior unsuccessful Democratic nominations of women, underpin the 58% trader consensus on a male outcome. No major female candidate has yet consolidated broad party support ahead of primaries.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$12,951
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning in the 2028 cycle shows male contenders such as JD Vance and Gavin Newsom holding stronger shares in prediction markets and national polling aggregates than female options like Kamala Harris or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys place several men atop hypothetical Democratic and Republican fields, while Harris registers single-digit support and Gretchen Whitmer has ruled out a bid. These patterns, combined with the 2024 result and two prior unsuccessful Democratic nominations of women, underpin the 58% trader consensus on a male outcome. No major female candidate has yet consolidated broad party support ahead of primaries.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$12,951
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "下一任當選的美國總統會是女性嗎？" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？" is "下一任當選的美國總統會是女性嗎？" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任美國總統會是女性嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.