The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
32% 機率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
是
32% 機率
最新
最新
2028-11-06
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,916結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,916結束日期
2028-11-07市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The fragmented early field for the 2028 Democratic nomination features several prominent male contenders, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, Pete Buttigieg, and Josh Shapiro, who draw support in prediction markets and polling for their executive or Senate experience. Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remain visible female options, yet traders assign them lower probabilities amid a broad field. The Democratic National Committee’s recent approval of a revised primary calendar—starting with South Carolina on January 22, 2028—shifts emphasis toward key voting blocs and could favor different profiles. Post-2024 reflections on the prior cycle continue to shape assessments of general-election viability without settled frontrunner momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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