A federal appeals court ruling on August 7 blocked above-ground construction of the $400 million White House ballroom project, holding that congressional approval is required after the East Wing demolition. The decision includes a 14-day stay, allowing the Trump administration to seek Supreme Court review of the injunction and related standing questions. Traders assign the "Yes" outcome a 60.5% implied probability because the current Court has shown willingness to grant emergency relief in executive authority disputes and some legal observers expect possible dismissal on procedural grounds rather than a full merits ruling. The compressed timeline to the September 30 resolution date, ongoing underground work, and prior Senate vote rejecting a funding block add to the uncertainty over whether SCOTUS action will permit continuation before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
31% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
31% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal appeals court ruling on August 7 blocked above-ground construction of the $400 million White House ballroom project, holding that congressional approval is required after the East Wing demolition. The decision includes a 14-day stay, allowing the Trump administration to seek Supreme Court review of the injunction and related standing questions. Traders assign the "Yes" outcome a 60.5% implied probability because the current Court has shown willingness to grant emergency relief in executive authority disputes and some legal observers expect possible dismissal on procedural grounds rather than a full merits ruling. The compressed timeline to the September 30 resolution date, ongoing underground work, and prior Senate vote rejecting a funding block add to the uncertainty over whether SCOTUS action will permit continuation before the deadline.
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$2,189結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal appeals court ruling on August 7 blocked above-ground construction of the $400 million White House ballroom project, holding that congressional approval is required after the East Wing demolition. The decision includes a 14-day stay, allowing the Trump administration to seek Supreme Court review of the injunction and related standing questions. Traders assign the "Yes" outcome a 60.5% implied probability because the current Court has shown willingness to grant emergency relief in executive authority disputes and some legal observers expect possible dismissal on procedural grounds rather than a full merits ruling. The compressed timeline to the September 30 resolution date, ongoing underground work, and prior Senate vote rejecting a funding block add to the uncertainty over whether SCOTUS action will permit continuation before the deadline.
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices. As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed. A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
Once a qualifying ruling or order has been issued, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the ruling or order is later vacated, reversed, or superseded, and regardless of whether construction actually resumes.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying ruling or order is issued by the deadline, including if the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, dismisses it, or resolves it on grounds that leave the block on above-ground construction in place. Above-ground construction becoming permitted through any mechanism other than a Supreme Court ruling or order — including congressional authorization, settlement, or dismissal of the underlying lawsuit — will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States (including orders published at supremecourt.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,189結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal appeals court ruling on August 7 blocked above-ground construction of the $400 million White House ballroom project, holding that congressional approval is required after the East Wing demolition. The decision includes a 14-day stay, allowing the Trump administration to seek Supreme Court review of the injunction and related standing questions. Traders assign the "Yes" outcome a 60.5% implied probability because the current Court has shown willingness to grant emergency relief in executive authority disputes and some legal observers expect possible dismissal on procedural grounds rather than a full merits ruling. The compressed timeline to the September 30 resolution date, ongoing underground work, and prior Senate vote rejecting a funding block add to the uncertainty over whether SCOTUS action will permit continuation before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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