Russian forces have sustained offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction through July 2026, with milblogger claims of incremental gains west of Shevchenko and south of Bilytske, though independent assessments such as those from the Institute for the Study of War recorded no confirmed territorial advances in the immediate area during that period. These grinding assaults follow the earlier capture of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad in late 2025 and early 2026, shifting focus to surrounding settlements and logistics nodes amid high attrition on both sides. Ukrainian defensive positions north of the city remain under pressure from Russian drone and artillery dominance, while Russian attempts to consolidate and push westward have faced fortified resistance. Trader consensus on entry timelines into specific locales like Pokrovskoe reflects the pace of these localized mechanized and infantry actions, with upcoming developments likely tied to any renewed battalion-scale assaults or Ukrainian counter-moves before seasonal weather changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$91,116 交易量
December 31
20%
$91,116 交易量
December 31
20%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 27, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have sustained offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction through July 2026, with milblogger claims of incremental gains west of Shevchenko and south of Bilytske, though independent assessments such as those from the Institute for the Study of War recorded no confirmed territorial advances in the immediate area during that period. These grinding assaults follow the earlier capture of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad in late 2025 and early 2026, shifting focus to surrounding settlements and logistics nodes amid high attrition on both sides. Ukrainian defensive positions north of the city remain under pressure from Russian drone and artillery dominance, while Russian attempts to consolidate and push westward have faced fortified resistance. Trader consensus on entry timelines into specific locales like Pokrovskoe reflects the pace of these localized mechanized and infantry actions, with upcoming developments likely tied to any renewed battalion-scale assaults or Ukrainian counter-moves before seasonal weather changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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