Russian forces continue offensive operations in the Orikhiv sector of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where Malokaterynivka sits near the frontline northwest of the town. Advances across the exposed bed of the former Kakhovka Reservoir remain contested, with Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive positions along the railway and open terrain limiting Russian maneuver and infiltration attempts. Recent assessments note Russian shelling and efforts to bypass Ukrainian strongpoints from the west toward Prymorske and Plavni, though direct entry into Malokaterynivka itself has not been confirmed in verified reporting. Broader Russian pressure in eastern Ukraine and Ukrainian strikes on rear areas shape resource allocation on this axis. Any shift in the local balance would depend on sustained artillery or ground assaults, Ukrainian reinforcements, or changes in drone and air activity before the market resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$267,200 交易量
December 31
7%
$267,200 交易量
December 31
7%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 27, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue offensive operations in the Orikhiv sector of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where Malokaterynivka sits near the frontline northwest of the town. Advances across the exposed bed of the former Kakhovka Reservoir remain contested, with Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive positions along the railway and open terrain limiting Russian maneuver and infiltration attempts. Recent assessments note Russian shelling and efforts to bypass Ukrainian strongpoints from the west toward Prymorske and Plavni, though direct entry into Malokaterynivka itself has not been confirmed in verified reporting. Broader Russian pressure in eastern Ukraine and Ukrainian strikes on rear areas shape resource allocation on this axis. Any shift in the local balance would depend on sustained artillery or ground assaults, Ukrainian reinforcements, or changes in drone and air activity before the market resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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