**The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented field dominated by the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec Solidaire, with recent aggregates showing the PQ leading at roughly 29% followed closely by the CAQ near 24-27%.** Parti Vert du Québec (PVQ) registers minimal support in public polls—typically 1% or less as part of the “other” category—and holds no current seats. First-past-the-post rules and vote-splitting among left-leaning parties create a narrow path for a single PVQ win in a targeted riding, keeping trader probabilities near even on whether the party secures any representation. Late-campaign regional shifts, candidate strength in specific districts, or further erosion of minor-party consolidation could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於50% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
50% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented field dominated by the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec Solidaire, with recent aggregates showing the PQ leading at roughly 29% followed closely by the CAQ near 24-27%.** Parti Vert du Québec (PVQ) registers minimal support in public polls—typically 1% or less as part of the “other” category—and holds no current seats. First-past-the-post rules and vote-splitting among left-leaning parties create a narrow path for a single PVQ win in a targeted riding, keeping trader probabilities near even on whether the party secures any representation. Late-campaign regional shifts, candidate strength in specific districts, or further erosion of minor-party consolidation could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented field dominated by the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec Solidaire, with recent aggregates showing the PQ leading at roughly 29% followed closely by the CAQ near 24-27%.** Parti Vert du Québec (PVQ) registers minimal support in public polls—typically 1% or less as part of the “other” category—and holds no current seats. First-past-the-post rules and vote-splitting among left-leaning parties create a narrow path for a single PVQ win in a targeted riding, keeping trader probabilities near even on whether the party secures any representation. Late-campaign regional shifts, candidate strength in specific districts, or further erosion of minor-party consolidation could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET**The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented field dominated by the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec Solidaire, with recent aggregates showing the PQ leading at roughly 29% followed closely by the CAQ near 24-27%.** Parti Vert du Québec (PVQ) registers minimal support in public polls—typically 1% or less as part of the “other” category—and holds no current seats. First-past-the-post rules and vote-splitting among left-leaning parties create a narrow path for a single PVQ win in a targeted riding, keeping trader probabilities near even on whether the party secures any representation. Late-campaign regional shifts, candidate strength in specific districts, or further erosion of minor-party consolidation could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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