State attorneys general lawsuits have emerged as the dominant factor keeping the "No" outcome at 74.7% implied probability for a Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery close by year-end. A July 2026 stipulation secured by California and 11 other states halted the $111 billion deal until after a March 2027 trial or settlement, overriding earlier DOJ approval and shifting any realistic timeline into 2027. Recent preliminary settlement talks between Paramount and California officials offer a narrow path to acceleration, yet no agreement has materialized and historical antitrust litigation patterns suggest prolonged uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the court-mandated delay plus typical regulatory and legal friction as decisive barriers before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
31% 機率
$151,653 交易量
$151,653 交易量
2026-12-30
是
31% 機率
$151,653 交易量
$151,653 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.State attorneys general lawsuits have emerged as the dominant factor keeping the "No" outcome at 74.7% implied probability for a Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery close by year-end. A July 2026 stipulation secured by California and 11 other states halted the $111 billion deal until after a March 2027 trial or settlement, overriding earlier DOJ approval and shifting any realistic timeline into 2027. Recent preliminary settlement talks between Paramount and California officials offer a narrow path to acceleration, yet no agreement has materialized and historical antitrust litigation patterns suggest prolonged uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the court-mandated delay plus typical regulatory and legal friction as decisive barriers before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
市場開放時間： Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
交易量
$151,653結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.State attorneys general lawsuits have emerged as the dominant factor keeping the "No" outcome at 74.7% implied probability for a Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery close by year-end. A July 2026 stipulation secured by California and 11 other states halted the $111 billion deal until after a March 2027 trial or settlement, overriding earlier DOJ approval and shifting any realistic timeline into 2027. Recent preliminary settlement talks between Paramount and California officials offer a narrow path to acceleration, yet no agreement has materialized and historical antitrust litigation patterns suggest prolonged uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the court-mandated delay plus typical regulatory and legal friction as decisive barriers before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
交易量
$151,653結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...State attorneys general lawsuits have emerged as the dominant factor keeping the "No" outcome at 74.7% implied probability for a Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery close by year-end. A July 2026 stipulation secured by California and 11 other states halted the $111 billion deal until after a March 2027 trial or settlement, overriding earlier DOJ approval and shifting any realistic timeline into 2027. Recent preliminary settlement talks between Paramount and California officials offer a narrow path to acceleration, yet no agreement has materialized and historical antitrust litigation patterns suggest prolonged uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the court-mandated delay plus typical regulatory and legal friction as decisive barriers before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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