The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, includes a mutual-defense clause and explicitly welcomes additional members. Signatories have held follow-up talks, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a secretariat and cooperation mechanisms, while publicly inviting participation and noting interest from six to seven Muslim-majority states. Egypt stands out as the most frequently cited prospect due to existing coordination and Turkish statements framing it as a near-term candidate once legal requirements are addressed; Syria, Iran, Qatar, and others have also signaled review or openness. No formal accessions have occurred by mid-September, however, as processes involve constitutional reviews, technical negotiations, and institutional maturation that typically extend timelines. Trader pricing for individual countries joining by December 31, 2026, reflects these diplomatic signals tempered by the early-stage status and absence of binding commitments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$63,518 交易量

10月31日
10%

12月31日
29%
$63,518 交易量

10月31日
10%

12月31日
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, includes a mutual-defense clause and explicitly welcomes additional members. Signatories have held follow-up talks, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a secretariat and cooperation mechanisms, while publicly inviting participation and noting interest from six to seven Muslim-majority states. Egypt stands out as the most frequently cited prospect due to existing coordination and Turkish statements framing it as a near-term candidate once legal requirements are addressed; Syria, Iran, Qatar, and others have also signaled review or openness. No formal accessions have occurred by mid-September, however, as processes involve constitutional reviews, technical negotiations, and institutional maturation that typically extend timelines. Trader pricing for individual countries joining by December 31, 2026, reflects these diplomatic signals tempered by the early-stage status and absence of binding commitments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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