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政治·委內瑞拉

委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？

icon for 委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？
政治·委內瑞拉

委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？

$615,562 交易量

2026-03-30
Polymarket

$615,562 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$123,359 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Venezuela’s next presidential election remains unscheduled following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 removal and the June earthquakes that shifted priorities to reconstruction under acting President Delcy Rodríguez. US-backed talks launched August 1 between the government-aligned National Assembly and the 2015 opposition-led body, represented by Jorge Rodríguez and Dinorah Figuera, center on renewing the National Electoral Council, reforming electoral laws, and restructuring Supreme Court chambers to enable credible voting. Opposition figures indicate institutional groundwork could require at least eight months, with some statements targeting preparatory bases by December 2026, while constitutional rules mandate at least six months’ advance notice. María Corina Machado and other opposition voices continue pressing for a defined timeline and broader participation, but the joint agenda has so far emphasized stabilization over immediate electoral commitments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$615,562
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Venezuela’s next presidential election remains unscheduled following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 removal and the June earthquakes that shifted priorities to reconstruction under acting President Delcy Rodríguez. US-backed talks launched August 1 between the government-aligned National Assembly and the 2015 opposition-led body, represented by Jorge Rodríguez and Dinorah Figuera, center on renewing the National Electoral Council, reforming electoral laws, and restructuring Supreme Court chambers to enable credible voting. Opposition figures indicate institutional groundwork could require at least eight months, with some statements targeting preparatory bases by December 2026, while constitutional rules mandate at least six months’ advance notice. María Corina Machado and other opposition voices continue pressing for a defined timeline and broader participation, but the joint agenda has so far emphasized stabilization over immediate electoral commitments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$615,562
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 17%, followed by "1月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？" has generated $615.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？" is "12月31日" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "委內瑞拉總統大選預定在... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.