SpaceX's upcoming IPO, with shares priced at $135 to raise roughly $75 billion at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, forms the central driver of trader views on closing market cap. The company filed its S-1 in May, positioning the listing as the largest ever on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, with trading expected shortly after June 11 pricing. Starlink's expanding constellation and recurring revenue, alongside ongoing Starship test flights and V3 satellite deployments, underpin the premium multiple relative to prior private valuations near $1.25 trillion. Competitive edges in reusable launch cadence and satellite broadband contrast with execution risks around regulatory approvals, technical milestones, and post-listing volatility typical for large tech debuts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Market prices SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion with high confidence
>$1T rises to 94%1%
Prediction markets show a 93.5% probability that SpaceX's IPO closing market cap will exceed $1 trillion, reflecting strong market consensus on the IPO's success and valuation, driven by the company's financial disclosures and IPO pricing.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 92%13%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the market's valuation expectations and IPO schedule.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 94%6%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever, reinforcing market optimism and pushing valuation probabilities higher.
Reuters reports SpaceX targets $1.75 trillion valuation in all-primary IPO
>$1.8T surges to 85%15%
Reuters reported that SpaceX plans an all-primary IPO to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with no existing shareholders selling shares. This news reinforced the market's high valuation expectations and IPO timing.
SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus for June IPO
>$1.6T jumps to 82%14%
SpaceX publicly filed its S-1 prospectus with the SEC, confirming plans for a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for June 12, 2026. The prospectus detailed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and outlined growth plans, reinforcing the $1.75 trillion valuation target.
SpaceX files IPO prospectus targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6T jumps to 90%11%
The IPO prospectus was filed publicly, outlining $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and ambitious growth plans. This disclosure reinforced market optimism, pushing prediction market prices for valuations above $1.6 trillion and $1.75 trillion higher.
SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.8T surges to 70%16%
SpaceX made its S-1 filing public, detailing $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and plans for a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation. This filing provided detailed financials and solidified market expectations for a record-breaking IPO.
SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC in IPO filing
>$1.6T rises to 81%4%
SpaceX disclosed holding 18,712 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million in its IPO filing, providing investors insight into its non-traditional assets and financial strategy, which influenced market valuation perceptions.
SpaceX prepares IPO prospectus release and investor roadshow
>$1.6T rises to 77%3%
Industry rumors indicated SpaceX would publish its IPO prospectus imminently and start investor roadshows in early June, coinciding with Starship launch milestones. This fueled market anticipation and price volatility in the closing market cap predictions.
SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targeting June 12 Nasdaq listing
>$1.6T surges to 74%26%
Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq debut planned for June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This accelerated schedule increased market confidence in the IPO's near-term execution.
SpaceX submits confidential draft registration statement to SEC for IPO
>$1.6T surges to 49%25%
SpaceX filed its confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 Nasdaq IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $75 billion capital raise. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO's timing and valuation.
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC
>$1.6T surges to 53%30%
SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. This official filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO timeline and valuation.
SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6T jumps to 62%14%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $50–75 billion raise, marking the largest public listing in history and significantly boosting market confidence.
SpaceX merges with xAI, combined valuation reaches $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 66%14%
SpaceX merged with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion. This merger expanded the company's business scope and significantly increased its valuation ahead of the IPO.
Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting $1.5 trillion valuation for June 2026 IPO
>$1.4T surges to 52%22%
Financial Times and other outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising expectations for a record-breaking public offering and influencing market pricing upward.
SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation in insider share sale ahead of IPO plans
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX conducted an insider share sale valuing the company at about $800 billion, signaling strong private market interest and setting the stage for a potential 2026 IPO. This valuation milestone increased market expectations for a large public offering.
SpaceX internal tender offer values company at $800 billion
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX approved an internal tender offer allowing investors to buy shares at $421 each, valuing the company at approximately $800 billion. This event set a new private market valuation floor and increased market expectations for a 2026 IPO.

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