**Trader consensus centers on 5–5.5 million total ballots in the November 3, 2026 Pennsylvania governor race, reflecting typical off-year turnout patterns between presidential highs near 7 million and lower midterm baselines.** Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, name recognition, and fundraising edge support steady Democratic mobilization in urban centers like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh plus competitive suburbs. Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility that may limit rural and base turnout despite efforts to highlight economic and energy issues. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 governor contest (roughly 5.37 million votes) and 2018 race anchor expectations, while the upcoming October 7 debate and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas remain the main variables that could shift totals within or across the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於500萬-550萬 51%
450萬至500萬 19%
550萬-600萬 12.0%
650萬+ 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4M
2%
400萬至450萬
2%
450萬至500萬
19%
500萬-550萬
34%
550萬-600萬
12%
600萬-650萬
1%
650萬+
4%
500萬-550萬 51%
450萬至500萬 19%
550萬-600萬 12.0%
650萬+ 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4M
$108 交易量
2%
400萬至450萬
$2,073 交易量
2%
450萬至500萬
$168 交易量
19%
500萬-550萬
$146 交易量
34%
550萬-600萬
$131 交易量
12%
600萬-650萬
$1,238 交易量
1%
650萬+
$1,489 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 5–5.5 million total ballots in the November 3, 2026 Pennsylvania governor race, reflecting typical off-year turnout patterns between presidential highs near 7 million and lower midterm baselines.** Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, name recognition, and fundraising edge support steady Democratic mobilization in urban centers like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh plus competitive suburbs. Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility that may limit rural and base turnout despite efforts to highlight economic and energy issues. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 governor contest (roughly 5.37 million votes) and 2018 race anchor expectations, while the upcoming October 7 debate and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas remain the main variables that could shift totals within or across the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$5,353結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 5–5.5 million total ballots in the November 3, 2026 Pennsylvania governor race, reflecting typical off-year turnout patterns between presidential highs near 7 million and lower midterm baselines.** Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, name recognition, and fundraising edge support steady Democratic mobilization in urban centers like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh plus competitive suburbs. Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility that may limit rural and base turnout despite efforts to highlight economic and energy issues. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 governor contest (roughly 5.37 million votes) and 2018 race anchor expectations, while the upcoming October 7 debate and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas remain the main variables that could shift totals within or across the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,353結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 5–5.5 million total ballots in the November 3, 2026 Pennsylvania governor race, reflecting typical off-year turnout patterns between presidential highs near 7 million and lower midterm baselines.** Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, name recognition, and fundraising edge support steady Democratic mobilization in urban centers like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh plus competitive suburbs. Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer, faces lower visibility that may limit rural and base turnout despite efforts to highlight economic and energy issues. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 governor contest (roughly 5.37 million votes) and 2018 race anchor expectations, while the upcoming October 7 debate and final get-out-the-vote pushes in swing areas remain the main variables that could shift totals within or across the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions