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icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

湯姆·克魯斯 30%

麥特·戴蒙 29%

安德魯·斯科特 17%

羅伯特·帕丁森 9.4%

Polymarket

$80,628 交易量

湯姆·克魯斯 30%

麥特·戴蒙 29%

安德魯·斯科特 17%

羅伯特·帕丁森 9.4%

Polymarket

$80,628 交易量

icon for 湯姆·克魯斯

湯姆·克魯斯

$8,323 交易量

30%

icon for 麥特·戴蒙

麥特·戴蒙

$28,036 交易量

29%

icon for 安德魯·斯科特

安德魯·斯科特

$7,829 交易量

17%

icon for 羅伯特·帕丁森

羅伯特·帕丁森

$2,479 交易量

9%

icon for 約翰·馬克維奇

約翰·馬克維奇

$2,397 交易量

7%

icon for 提莫西·查拉梅

提莫西·查拉梅

$2,781 交易量

4%

icon for 賽巴斯汀·斯坦

賽巴斯汀·斯坦

$2,071 交易量

4%

icon for 萊恩·葛斯林

萊恩·葛斯林

$3,969 交易量

3%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$2,322 交易量

2%

icon for 布萊德·彼特

布萊德·彼特

$6,941 交易量

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$1,877 交易量

1%

icon for 傑瑞米·斯特朗

傑瑞米·斯特朗

$1,804 交易量

1%

icon for 賈法爾·傑克森

賈法爾·傑克森

$2,617 交易量

1%

icon for 哈維爾·巴登

哈維爾·巴登

$1,260 交易量

1%

icon for 喬什·奧康納

喬什·奧康納

$1,228 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞當·崔佛

亞當·崔佛

$2,097 交易量

<1%

icon for 約翰·特托羅

約翰·特托羅

$1,085 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·阿拉馬約

羅伯特·阿拉馬約

$1,512 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz from high-profile 2026 releases has created a tightly contested Best Actor field for the 2027 Oscars, with market-implied odds reflecting balanced trader sentiment across multiple contenders rather than a single frontrunner. Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger lead the discussion due to their directors’ track records and star-driven campaigns, while Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary follow on strong early tracking and critical anticipation. With few films fully released and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the race remains fluid; fall festivals, box office performance, and late-year reviews will likely shift momentum before nominations. Traders weigh historical patterns favoring established names in prestige vehicles against the potential for breakout performances in smaller films.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$80,628
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz from high-profile 2026 releases has created a tightly contested Best Actor field for the 2027 Oscars, with market-implied odds reflecting balanced trader sentiment across multiple contenders rather than a single frontrunner. Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger lead the discussion due to their directors’ track records and star-driven campaigns, while Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary follow on strong early tracking and critical anticipation. With few films fully released and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the race remains fluid; fall festivals, box office performance, and late-year reviews will likely shift momentum before nominations. Traders weigh historical patterns favoring established names in prestige vehicles against the potential for breakout performances in smaller films.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$80,628
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

相關

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

96%
icon for 《奧德賽》會在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳影片獎嗎？

《奧德賽》會在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳影片獎嗎？

56%
是
icon for Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

33%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·克魯斯" at 30%, followed by "麥特·戴蒙" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" has generated $80.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is "湯姆·克魯斯" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥特·戴蒙" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.