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icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名

$20,166 交易量

2027-01-21
Polymarket

$20,166 交易量

Polymarket

Matt Damon

$749 交易量

96%

Andrew Scott

$4,466 交易量

73%

Tom Cruise

$2,489 交易量

62%

Ryan Gosling

$2,978 交易量

49%

Pedro Pascal

$298 交易量

36%

Timothée Chalamet

$2,465 交易量

28%

Adam Driver

$55 交易量

20%

Brad Pitt

$795 交易量

17%

Sebastian Stan

$551 交易量

22%

Jeremy Strong

$3,272 交易量

11%

Sam Rockwell

$794 交易量

9%

Robert Aramayo

$201 交易量

8%

Jaafar Jackson

$159 交易量

8%

Javier Bardem

$340 交易量

13%

Josh O'Connor

$136 交易量

5%

John Turturro

$202 交易量

36%

John Malkovich

$96 交易量

53%

羅伯·帕丁森

$120 交易量

44%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor race remains wide open in mid-August 2026, with early industry sentiment centering on star-driven vehicles like Matt Damon in The Odyssey, Tom Cruise in Digger, Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary, and John Malkovich in Wild Horse Nine. Precursor momentum is absent until fall festivals and critics' groups weigh in, but historical patterns favor established leading men with strong reviews and awards-friendly studios. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York Film Festival premieres, guild screenings, and late-year box office or critical reception that could elevate or sideline contenders ahead of nominations in January 2027. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as no single performance has yet secured frontrunner status in a historically competitive category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,166
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor race remains wide open in mid-August 2026, with early industry sentiment centering on star-driven vehicles like Matt Damon in The Odyssey, Tom Cruise in Digger, Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary, and John Malkovich in Wild Horse Nine. Precursor momentum is absent until fall festivals and critics' groups weigh in, but historical patterns favor established leading men with strong reviews and awards-friendly studios. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York Film Festival premieres, guild screenings, and late-year box office or critical reception that could elevate or sideline contenders ahead of nominations in January 2027. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as no single performance has yet secured frontrunner status in a historically competitive category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,166
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 96%, followed by "Andrew Scott" at 73%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名" has generated $20.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名" is "Matt Damon" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrew Scott" at 73%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角提名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.