MrBeast’s latest long-form upload opened with strong but not record-setting first-day view velocity, placing the 42–45 million day-two bracket at an 82% implied probability as traders price in typical second-day gains of 60–80% from similar releases. Consistent algorithmic promotion on YouTube, combined with the creator’s established audience engagement patterns and thumbnail performance, anchors the market consensus around mid-40 million cumulative views, aligning with moderated 2026 trajectories rather than prior peaks. Recent announcements of a high-budget project tempered expectations for breakout performance, while competition from other creators and shifting audience habits limit upside beyond the 45–48 million tier at 14%. Key swing factors ahead of resolution include any late social-media spikes and final 48-hour view tracking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於第2天MrBeast影片的觀看次數?
4,200–4,500 萬 85%
4,500 萬–4,800 萬 12%
3,900–4,200 萬 4.8%
4,800–5,100萬 1.7%
$16,845 交易量
$16,845 交易量
少於 3,600 萬
<1%
3,600–3,900 萬
<1%
3,900–4,200 萬
5%
4,200–4,500 萬
85%
4,500 萬–4,800 萬
12%
4,800–5,100萬
2%
5100 萬+
<1%
4,200–4,500 萬 85%
4,500 萬–4,800 萬 12%
3,900–4,200 萬 4.8%
4,800–5,100萬 1.7%
$16,845 交易量
$16,845 交易量
少於 3,600 萬
<1%
3,600–3,900 萬
<1%
3,900–4,200 萬
5%
4,200–4,500 萬
85%
4,500 萬–4,800 萬
12%
4,800–5,100萬
2%
5100 萬+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 10:48 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
MrBeast’s latest long-form upload opened with strong but not record-setting first-day view velocity, placing the 42–45 million day-two bracket at an 82% implied probability as traders price in typical second-day gains of 60–80% from similar releases. Consistent algorithmic promotion on YouTube, combined with the creator’s established audience engagement patterns and thumbnail performance, anchors the market consensus around mid-40 million cumulative views, aligning with moderated 2026 trajectories rather than prior peaks. Recent announcements of a high-budget project tempered expectations for breakout performance, while competition from other creators and shifting audience habits limit upside beyond the 45–48 million tier at 14%. Key swing factors ahead of resolution include any late social-media spikes and final 48-hour view tracking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions