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icon for 內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?

內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?

icon for 內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?

內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?

$138,703 交易量

2026-09-29
Polymarket

$138,703 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$29,950 交易量

4%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu has officially confirmed his candidacy to lead Likud into the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, following the July dissolution of parliament. Trader sentiment on early withdrawal reflects his continued commitment despite polling that places the Likud-led bloc near or below the 61-seat threshold needed for a majority, with opposition figures like Gadi Eisenkot gaining ground in head-to-head preferences. Key pressures include prolonged public fatigue after years of conflict, internal coalition strains over issues such as ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions, and recent rejection of a U.S.-backed Gaza plan demanding Hamas disarmament prior to withdrawal. Netanyahu’s historical record of forming governments and the short campaign timeline remain central to assessments of whether coalition arithmetic or personal decision could alter the field before voting.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138,703
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu has officially confirmed his candidacy to lead Likud into the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, following the July dissolution of parliament. Trader sentiment on early withdrawal reflects his continued commitment despite polling that places the Likud-led bloc near or below the 61-seat threshold needed for a majority, with opposition figures like Gadi Eisenkot gaining ground in head-to-head preferences. Key pressures include prolonged public fatigue after years of conflict, internal coalition strains over issues such as ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions, and recent rejection of a U.S.-backed Gaza plan demanding Hamas disarmament prior to withdrawal. Netanyahu’s historical record of forming governments and the short campaign timeline remain central to assessments of whether coalition arithmetic or personal decision could alter the field before voting.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138,703
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "9月30日" at 4%, followed by "7月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?" has generated $138.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?" is "9月30日" at just 4%, with "7月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡在以色列選舉中退出... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.