Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election features Benjamin Netanyahu as Likud leader and incumbent prime minister, with the Knesset dissolved in July 2026. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed his candidacy and expectations of victory, while securing influence over Likud's candidate list amid internal party adjustments. Polling averages indicate his right-wing and religious coalition bloc trails the threshold for a 61-seat majority, with opposition figures including Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett showing competitive or leading support in head-to-head and bloc measurements. Ongoing factors include security assessments after October 2023, coalition negotiations with smaller parties, and legal proceedings. No verified statements or procedural steps point to withdrawal, leaving coalition math and late-campaign shifts as primary variables for traders assessing dropout probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$138,003 交易量
2026-09-29
9月30日
5%
$138,003 交易量
9月30日
$29,250 交易量
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election features Benjamin Netanyahu as Likud leader and incumbent prime minister, with the Knesset dissolved in July 2026. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed his candidacy and expectations of victory, while securing influence over Likud's candidate list amid internal party adjustments. Polling averages indicate his right-wing and religious coalition bloc trails the threshold for a 61-seat majority, with opposition figures including Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett showing competitive or leading support in head-to-head and bloc measurements. Ongoing factors include security assessments after October 2023, coalition negotiations with smaller parties, and legal proceedings. No verified statements or procedural steps point to withdrawal, leaving coalition math and late-campaign shifts as primary variables for traders assessing dropout probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$138,003結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election features Benjamin Netanyahu as Likud leader and incumbent prime minister, with the Knesset dissolved in July 2026. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed his candidacy and expectations of victory, while securing influence over Likud's candidate list amid internal party adjustments. Polling averages indicate his right-wing and religious coalition bloc trails the threshold for a 61-seat majority, with opposition figures including Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett showing competitive or leading support in head-to-head and bloc measurements. Ongoing factors include security assessments after October 2023, coalition negotiations with smaller parties, and legal proceedings. No verified statements or procedural steps point to withdrawal, leaving coalition math and late-campaign shifts as primary variables for traders assessing dropout probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138,003結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election features Benjamin Netanyahu as Likud leader and incumbent prime minister, with the Knesset dissolved in July 2026. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed his candidacy and expectations of victory, while securing influence over Likud's candidate list amid internal party adjustments. Polling averages indicate his right-wing and religious coalition bloc trails the threshold for a 61-seat majority, with opposition figures including Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett showing competitive or leading support in head-to-head and bloc measurements. Ongoing factors include security assessments after October 2023, coalition negotiations with smaller parties, and legal proceedings. No verified statements or procedural steps point to withdrawal, leaving coalition math and late-campaign shifts as primary variables for traders assessing dropout probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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