**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR #284) has seen notable post-release price softening, with raw copies recently trading in the $940–$1,050 range after double-digit percentage drops over the past month.** This reflects classic chase-card dynamics in the Pokémon TCG: strong initial collector demand for the popular Gengar character paired with striking Special Illustration Rare artwork has given way to typical supply normalization and market correction several months after the January 2026 set launch. Traders see a near-even split because downward momentum from thinning hype and incoming product competes against enduring fan appeal and the card’s status as the set’s top chase. The late-August release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins (August 28) adds fresh booster supply that could accelerate softening, while the looming 30th Celebration set on September 16 risks diverting collector capital toward anniversary product and fresh chase cards. Low competitive play rates further limit organic demand spikes. A decisive shift toward “up” would require stronger-than-expected sell-through of the new tins or sustained secondary-market resilience heading into the anniversary wave; continued volume at lower prices or broad market rotation away from 2026 Mega Evolution cards would likely lock in further downside by month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月30日Mega Gengar ex價格上漲/下跌？
9月30日Mega Gengar ex價格上漲/下跌？
上漲
52% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
上漲
52% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR #284) has seen notable post-release price softening, with raw copies recently trading in the $940–$1,050 range after double-digit percentage drops over the past month.** This reflects classic chase-card dynamics in the Pokémon TCG: strong initial collector demand for the popular Gengar character paired with striking Special Illustration Rare artwork has given way to typical supply normalization and market correction several months after the January 2026 set launch.
Traders see a near-even split because downward momentum from thinning hype and incoming product competes against enduring fan appeal and the card’s status as the set’s top chase. The late-August release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins (August 28) adds fresh booster supply that could accelerate softening, while the looming 30th Celebration set on September 16 risks diverting collector capital toward anniversary product and fresh chase cards. Low competitive play rates further limit organic demand spikes.
A decisive shift toward “up” would require stronger-than-expected sell-through of the new tins or sustained secondary-market resilience heading into the anniversary wave; continued volume at lower prices or broad market rotation away from 2026 Mega Evolution cards would likely lock in further downside by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$332結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR #284) has seen notable post-release price softening, with raw copies recently trading in the $940–$1,050 range after double-digit percentage drops over the past month.** This reflects classic chase-card dynamics in the Pokémon TCG: strong initial collector demand for the popular Gengar character paired with striking Special Illustration Rare artwork has given way to typical supply normalization and market correction several months after the January 2026 set launch.
Traders see a near-even split because downward momentum from thinning hype and incoming product competes against enduring fan appeal and the card’s status as the set’s top chase. The late-August release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins (August 28) adds fresh booster supply that could accelerate softening, while the looming 30th Celebration set on September 16 risks diverting collector capital toward anniversary product and fresh chase cards. Low competitive play rates further limit organic demand spikes.
A decisive shift toward “up” would require stronger-than-expected sell-through of the new tins or sustained secondary-market resilience heading into the anniversary wave; continued volume at lower prices or broad market rotation away from 2026 Mega Evolution cards would likely lock in further downside by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$332結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR #284) has seen notable post-release price softening, with raw copies recently trading in the $940–$1,050 range after double-digit percentage drops over the past month.** This reflects classic chase-card dynamics in the Pokémon TCG: strong initial collector demand for the popular Gengar character paired with striking Special Illustration Rare artwork has given way to typical supply normalization and market correction several months after the January 2026 set launch. Traders see a near-even split because downward momentum from thinning hype and incoming product competes against enduring fan appeal and the card’s status as the set’s top chase. The late-August release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins (August 28) adds fresh booster supply that could accelerate softening, while the looming 30th Celebration set on September 16 risks diverting collector capital toward anniversary product and fresh chase cards. Low competitive play rates further limit organic demand spikes. A decisive shift toward “up” would require stronger-than-expected sell-through of the new tins or sustained secondary-market resilience heading into the anniversary wave; continued volume at lower prices or broad market rotation away from 2026 Mega Evolution cards would likely lock in further downside by month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions