Recent price softening across several Mega Dragonite ex variants from the Ascended Heroes set has kept the market near even, with the “Down” outcome holding a slim 51.5% implied probability. After strong early-2026 demand for the Special Illustration Rares and hyper rares, mid-August sales data showed notable drops—such as the hyper rare falling from $280 to $265—reflecting increased supply and typical post-release cooling. Dragonite’s enduring collector appeal and the card’s high HP and attack profile continue to support floor prices, yet traders weigh these against seasonal market softness and potential new-set competition. Key swing catalysts through September 30 include fresh TCGPlayer and eBay volume trends, any late-summer grading population spikes, and the impact of upcoming releases that could redirect collector capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mega Dragonite ex 9月30日價格上漲/下跌？
Mega Dragonite ex 9月30日價格上漲/下跌？
上升
54% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
上升
54% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $668.24.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent price softening across several Mega Dragonite ex variants from the Ascended Heroes set has kept the market near even, with the “Down” outcome holding a slim 51.5% implied probability. After strong early-2026 demand for the Special Illustration Rares and hyper rares, mid-August sales data showed notable drops—such as the hyper rare falling from $280 to $265—reflecting increased supply and typical post-release cooling. Dragonite’s enduring collector appeal and the card’s high HP and attack profile continue to support floor prices, yet traders weigh these against seasonal market softness and potential new-set competition. Key swing catalysts through September 30 include fresh TCGPlayer and eBay volume trends, any late-summer grading population spikes, and the impact of upcoming releases that could redirect collector capital.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $668.24.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$839結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $668.24.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent price softening across several Mega Dragonite ex variants from the Ascended Heroes set has kept the market near even, with the “Down” outcome holding a slim 51.5% implied probability. After strong early-2026 demand for the Special Illustration Rares and hyper rares, mid-August sales data showed notable drops—such as the hyper rare falling from $280 to $265—reflecting increased supply and typical post-release cooling. Dragonite’s enduring collector appeal and the card’s high HP and attack profile continue to support floor prices, yet traders weigh these against seasonal market softness and potential new-set competition. Key swing catalysts through September 30 include fresh TCGPlayer and eBay volume trends, any late-summer grading population spikes, and the impact of upcoming releases that could redirect collector capital.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $668.24.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $668.24.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $668.24.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$839結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent price softening across several Mega Dragonite ex variants from the Ascended Heroes set has kept the market near even, with the “Down” outcome holding a slim 51.5% implied probability. After strong early-2026 demand for the Special Illustration Rares and hyper rares, mid-August sales data showed notable drops—such as the hyper rare falling from $280 to $265—reflecting increased supply and typical post-release cooling. Dragonite’s enduring collector appeal and the card’s high HP and attack profile continue to support floor prices, yet traders weigh these against seasonal market softness and potential new-set competition. Key swing catalysts through September 30 include fresh TCGPlayer and eBay volume trends, any late-summer grading population spikes, and the impact of upcoming releases that could redirect collector capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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