**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night for Beijing on September 10, supporting a minimum temperature in the 14–16°C range under light northerly winds and strong radiative cooling after sunset.** Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with the primary uncertainty arising from exact wind speeds overnight and urban heat-island effects that can raise observed lows at central stations by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Clear skies favor efficient heat loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could keep readings closer to 16–17°C; conversely, stronger radiational cooling under calm conditions could dip toward 13°C or lower. The closely matched market-implied odds on both colder (≤8°C) and warmer (≥18°C) extremes reflect this sensitivity to final observational details and model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours, alongside historical September variability where minimums have ranged 10–19°C in recent decades.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日北京最低溫度？
9月10日北京最低溫度？
18°C或以上 89%
8°C或以下 77%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
77%
9°C
20%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
39%
18°C或以上
89%
18°C或以上 89%
8°C或以下 77%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
$61 交易量
77%
9°C
$10 交易量
20%
10°C
$0 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
23%
12°C
$0 交易量
24%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C或以上
$43 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night for Beijing on September 10, supporting a minimum temperature in the 14–16°C range under light northerly winds and strong radiative cooling after sunset.**
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with the primary uncertainty arising from exact wind speeds overnight and urban heat-island effects that can raise observed lows at central stations by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Clear skies favor efficient heat loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could keep readings closer to 16–17°C; conversely, stronger radiational cooling under calm conditions could dip toward 13°C or lower. The closely matched market-implied odds on both colder (≤8°C) and warmer (≥18°C) extremes reflect this sensitivity to final observational details and model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours, alongside historical September variability where minimums have ranged 10–19°C in recent decades.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$114結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night for Beijing on September 10, supporting a minimum temperature in the 14–16°C range under light northerly winds and strong radiative cooling after sunset.**
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with the primary uncertainty arising from exact wind speeds overnight and urban heat-island effects that can raise observed lows at central stations by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Clear skies favor efficient heat loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could keep readings closer to 16–17°C; conversely, stronger radiational cooling under calm conditions could dip toward 13°C or lower. The closely matched market-implied odds on both colder (≤8°C) and warmer (≥18°C) extremes reflect this sensitivity to final observational details and model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours, alongside historical September variability where minimums have ranged 10–19°C in recent decades.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$114結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night for Beijing on September 10, supporting a minimum temperature in the 14–16°C range under light northerly winds and strong radiative cooling after sunset.** Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with the primary uncertainty arising from exact wind speeds overnight and urban heat-island effects that can raise observed lows at central stations by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Clear skies favor efficient heat loss, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could keep readings closer to 16–17°C; conversely, stronger radiational cooling under calm conditions could dip toward 13°C or lower. The closely matched market-implied odds on both colder (≤8°C) and warmer (≥18°C) extremes reflect this sensitivity to final observational details and model updates expected in the next 24–48 hours, alongside historical September variability where minimums have ranged 10–19°C in recent decades.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions