**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party supermajority support in the National Assembly.** This structural advantage makes passage of an impeachment motion improbable absent a major shift in legislative control or broad cross-party consensus. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, major scandals, or legislative defections have emerged to challenge his position. Recent actions, including proposals for constitutional reform to a four-year renewable presidential term with expanded parliamentary powers, signal focus on institutional adjustments rather than defensive maneuvers. Approval ratings have remained relatively resilient despite minor dips tied to local elections and administrative issues, providing little momentum for opposition-led removal efforts before the 2027 horizon. Traders price the low probability of formal impeachment accordingly, reflecting the party’s legislative dominance and the high bar for National Assembly action under South Korea’s constitutional process.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
11% 機率
$20,368 交易量
$20,368 交易量
2026-12-30
是
11% 機率
$20,368 交易量
$20,368 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party supermajority support in the National Assembly.** This structural advantage makes passage of an impeachment motion improbable absent a major shift in legislative control or broad cross-party consensus.
As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, major scandals, or legislative defections have emerged to challenge his position. Recent actions, including proposals for constitutional reform to a four-year renewable presidential term with expanded parliamentary powers, signal focus on institutional adjustments rather than defensive maneuvers. Approval ratings have remained relatively resilient despite minor dips tied to local elections and administrative issues, providing little momentum for opposition-led removal efforts before the 2027 horizon.
Traders price the low probability of formal impeachment accordingly, reflecting the party’s legislative dominance and the high bar for National Assembly action under South Korea’s constitutional process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$20,368結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party supermajority support in the National Assembly.** This structural advantage makes passage of an impeachment motion improbable absent a major shift in legislative control or broad cross-party consensus.
As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, major scandals, or legislative defections have emerged to challenge his position. Recent actions, including proposals for constitutional reform to a four-year renewable presidential term with expanded parliamentary powers, signal focus on institutional adjustments rather than defensive maneuvers. Approval ratings have remained relatively resilient despite minor dips tied to local elections and administrative issues, providing little momentum for opposition-led removal efforts before the 2027 horizon.
Traders price the low probability of formal impeachment accordingly, reflecting the party’s legislative dominance and the high bar for National Assembly action under South Korea’s constitutional process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$20,368結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party supermajority support in the National Assembly.** This structural advantage makes passage of an impeachment motion improbable absent a major shift in legislative control or broad cross-party consensus. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, major scandals, or legislative defections have emerged to challenge his position. Recent actions, including proposals for constitutional reform to a four-year renewable presidential term with expanded parliamentary powers, signal focus on institutional adjustments rather than defensive maneuvers. Approval ratings have remained relatively resilient despite minor dips tied to local elections and administrative issues, providing little momentum for opposition-led removal efforts before the 2027 horizon. Traders price the low probability of formal impeachment accordingly, reflecting the party’s legislative dominance and the high bar for National Assembly action under South Korea’s constitutional process.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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