As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends prior criminal proceedings and generally bars arrest or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his five suspended trials over election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with those cases expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments or legislative moves in 2026 have emerged to override this protection or initiate arrest proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.1% probability for “No” aligns with this structural barrier and the absence of recent developments capable of altering it within the narrow resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$537,986 交易量
$537,986 交易量
2026-12-30
是
9% 機率
$537,986 交易量
$537,986 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends prior criminal proceedings and generally bars arrest or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his five suspended trials over election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with those cases expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments or legislative moves in 2026 have emerged to override this protection or initiate arrest proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.1% probability for “No” aligns with this structural barrier and the absence of recent developments capable of altering it within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$537,986結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends prior criminal proceedings and generally bars arrest or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his five suspended trials over election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with those cases expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments or legislative moves in 2026 have emerged to override this protection or initiate arrest proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.1% probability for “No” aligns with this structural barrier and the absence of recent developments capable of altering it within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$538,080結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends prior criminal proceedings and generally bars arrest or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his five suspended trials over election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with those cases expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments or legislative moves in 2026 have emerged to override this protection or initiate arrest proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.1% probability for “No” aligns with this structural barrier and the absence of recent developments capable of altering it within the narrow resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions