Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日華沙的最高溫度？
7月25日華沙的最高溫度？
25°C 56%
24°C 25%
26°C 16%
23°C 3.0%
$15,670 交易量
$15,670 交易量
2026-07-25
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
25%
25°C
56%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
24°C 25%
26°C 16%
23°C 3.0%
$15,670 交易量
$15,670 交易量
2026-07-25
20°C or below
$913 交易量
<1%
21°C
$983 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,141 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,290 交易量
3%
24°C
$3,014 交易量
25%
25°C
$2,187 交易量
56%
26°C
$2,477 交易量
16%
27°C
$1,455 交易量
1%
28°C
$688 交易量
<1%
29°C
$386 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$15,670結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,670結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on July 25 most likely in the 24–26°C range, with the market's tight clustering around 25°C reflecting genuine model spread and limited differentiation among runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Atlantic trough, potential for increased cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime heating, and modest variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection keeps probabilities for extremes low. Updated model guidance and official IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions