Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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