Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日丹佛的最高溫度？
7月24日丹佛的最高溫度？
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
4%
華氏100度或更高
1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
華氏81度或以下
$225 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$320 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$270 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$479 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$59 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$261 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$245 交易量
26%
94-95°F
$77 交易量
43%
96-97°F
$325 交易量
24%
98-99°F
$77 交易量
4%
華氏100度或更高
$94 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,433結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,433結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions