Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Qingdao's July 25 maximum temperature centered near 28–30°C amid thundershowers and variable cloud cover, creating tight clustering around the 30–34°C market outcomes. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture introduce cooling that limits peaks, while brief clear intervals or localized heating could push readings toward 32–33°C. Historical July climatology for the region places average daily highs near 29°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing of convection or steering flow can differentiate the tightly bunched probabilities. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日青島氣溫最高?
31°C 26%
34°C或以上 25%
32°C 24%
33°C 22%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
14%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
24%
33°C
22%
34°C或以上
25%
31°C 26%
34°C或以上 25%
32°C 24%
33°C 22%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
14%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
24%
33°C
22%
34°C或以上
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Qingdao's July 25 maximum temperature centered near 28–30°C amid thundershowers and variable cloud cover, creating tight clustering around the 30–34°C market outcomes. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture introduce cooling that limits peaks, while brief clear intervals or localized heating could push readings toward 32–33°C. Historical July climatology for the region places average daily highs near 29°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing of convection or steering flow can differentiate the tightly bunched probabilities. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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