Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月13日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
1%
華氏110度或以上
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏91度或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$12 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$67 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
6%
98-99°F
$193 交易量
25%
100-101°F
$117 交易量
54%
102-103°F
$11 交易量
14%
104-105°F
$124 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$59 交易量
5%
108-109°F
$59 交易量
1%
華氏110度或以上
$54 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$709結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$709結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting a high near 101°F in Austin on August 13, aligning with the market’s 53.5% implied probability for 100-101°F. Long-range August outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center favor above-normal temperatures across Central Texas, consistent with climatological peaks in the high 90s to low 100s. Model consensus shows limited variability from ridge persistence, though any increase in afternoon moisture or cloud cover could cap readings near 99°F, reflected in the 30% for 98-99°F. Updated short-term forecasts released in the past 48 hours reinforce this range without signaling deviation toward 102°F or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions