The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於140-159 100.0%
少於20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 交易量
$2,953,704 交易量
2026-07-21
少於20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
是
160-179
否
180-199
否
200-219
否
220-239
否
240-259
否
260-279
否
280-299
否
300-319
否
320-339
否
340-359
否
360-379
否
380-399
否
400-419
否
420-439
否
440-459
否
460-479
否
480-499
否
500+
否
140-159 100.0%
少於20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 交易量
$2,953,704 交易量
2026-07-21
少於20
$23,957 交易量
否
20-39
$27,973 交易量
否
40-59
$32,343 交易量
否
60-79
$103,018 交易量
否
80-99
$81,478 交易量
否
100-119
$161,763 交易量
否
120-139
$288,472 交易量
否
140-159
$441,805 交易量
是
160-179
$276,314 交易量
否
180-199
$335,746 交易量
否
200-219
$225,806 交易量
否
220-239
$168,601 交易量
否
240-259
$126,666 交易量
否
260-279
$118,922 交易量
否
280-299
$103,744 交易量
否
300-319
$81,660 交易量
否
320-339
$53,566 交易量
否
340-359
$54,338 交易量
否
360-379
$44,176 交易量
否
380-399
$37,706 交易量
否
400-419
$44,184 交易量
否
420-439
$26,130 交易量
否
440-459
$25,267 交易量
否
460-479
$11,080 交易量
否
480-499
$14,533 交易量
否
500+
$44,459 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$2,953,704結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,953,704結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions