**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 68%
Janine Lélis 11%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯 8%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦 7%
最新
最新
2026-11-15
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
68%
Janine Lélis
11%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
8%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
7%
費爾南多·德爾加多
6%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
6%
喬安娜·羅莎
3%
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 68%
Janine Lélis 11%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯 8%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦 7%
最新
最新
2026-11-15
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
$1,048 交易量
68%
Janine Lélis
$198 交易量
11%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
$223 交易量
8%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
$235 交易量
7%
費爾南多·德爾加多
$198 交易量
6%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
$198 交易量
6%
喬安娜·羅莎
$223 交易量
3%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
交易量
$2,323結束日期
2026-11-15市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
交易量
$2,323結束日期
2026-11-15市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**José Maria Neves leads the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election market at 67.5% implied probability as the PAICV incumbent seeking re-election on November 15.** His party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory, which ended MpD control and installed a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced his position by signaling strong organizational backing and voter continuity ahead of the first-round vote. Lower-priced contenders such as Janine Lélis (11.5%), Milton Paiva (7%), Péricles Tavares (7%), and others including Casimiro de Pina, Fernando Delgado, and Joana Rosa (all under 7%) reflect limited national name recognition and weaker party structures at this stage. Trader consensus prices the outcome around Neves’ incumbency advantage and the recent legislative shift, with any late consolidation among opposition figures or turnout shifts in the final months the main variables that could alter probabilities before the November ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions