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政治·墨西哥

南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者

icon for 南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者
政治·墨西哥

南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者

瓜達盧佩·薩爾達尼亞·西斯內羅斯 48%

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 39%

胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多 38%

荷西·里戈貝托·馬雷斯·阿吉拉爾 36%

Polymarket
最新

瓜達盧佩·薩爾達尼亞·西斯內羅斯 48%

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 39%

胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多 38%

荷西·里戈貝托·馬雷斯·阿吉拉爾 36%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 瓜達盧佩·薩爾達尼亞·西斯內羅斯

瓜達盧佩·薩爾達尼亞·西斯內羅斯

$46 交易量

48%

icon for Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

$46 交易量

39%

icon for 胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多

胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多

$46 交易量

38%

icon for 荷西·里戈貝托·馬雷斯·阿吉拉爾

荷西·里戈貝托·馬雷斯·阿吉拉爾

$46 交易量

36%

icon for 黛安娜·馮·博斯特爾·盧娜

黛安娜·馮·博斯特爾·盧娜

$46 交易量

36%

icon for Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

$46 交易量

36%

icon for 蘇珊娜·薩塔拉因·加西亞

蘇珊娜·薩塔拉因·加西亞

$46 交易量

35%

icon for 曼努埃爾·科塔·卡爾德納斯

曼努埃爾·科塔·卡爾德納斯

$46 交易量

34%

icon for 荷西·索爾·岡薩雷斯·努涅斯

荷西·索爾·岡薩雷斯·努涅斯

$46 交易量

32%

icon for 里卡多·巴羅索·阿格拉蒙特

里卡多·巴羅索·阿格拉蒙特

$46 交易量

29%

icon for Roxana Higuera

Roxana Higuera

$46 交易量

28%

icon for 胡安·阿爾韋拉多·阿拉貢

胡安·阿爾韋拉多·阿拉貢

$46 交易量

26%

icon for 法布里西奧·德爾卡斯蒂略

法布里西奧·德爾卡斯蒂略

$46 交易量

25%

icon for 安東尼奧·曼里克斯

安東尼奧·曼里克斯

$46 交易量

19%

icon for Milena Quiroga Romero

Milena Quiroga Romero

$66 交易量

19%

icon for Christian Agúndez Gómez

Christian Agúndez Gómez

$46 交易量

18%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented probabilities in this Baja California Sur gubernatorial market reflect the early stage of the 2027 contest, with Morena holding a clear party-level lead in recent July-August 2026 polls at around 39 percent but no individual aspirant consolidating broad support. Internal party surveys show shifting preferences among contenders such as Milena Quiroga Romero and Christian Agúndez Gómez, alongside lower backing for figures like Manuel Cota Cárdenas and José Saúl González Núñez, keeping individual odds tightly clustered near or below 50 percent. A wide field of potential candidates from multiple parties, combined with the absence of decisive primaries or major endorsements, sustains trader caution. Upcoming party conventions or new polling on candidate viability could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners ahead of the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$761
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented probabilities in this Baja California Sur gubernatorial market reflect the early stage of the 2027 contest, with Morena holding a clear party-level lead in recent July-August 2026 polls at around 39 percent but no individual aspirant consolidating broad support. Internal party surveys show shifting preferences among contenders such as Milena Quiroga Romero and Christian Agúndez Gómez, alongside lower backing for figures like Manuel Cota Cárdenas and José Saúl González Núñez, keeping individual odds tightly clustered near or below 50 percent. A wide field of potential candidates from multiple parties, combined with the absence of decisive primaries or major endorsements, sustains trader caution. Upcoming party conventions or new polling on candidate viability could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners ahead of the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$761
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Will Damián Zepeda Vidales win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias" at 39%, followed by "胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者" is "Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "胡安·阿爾韋托·瓦爾迪維亞·阿爾瓦拉多" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南下加利福尼亞州州長選舉勝利者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.