The August 11 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an exceptionally close contest between state Representative Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with each holding roughly 40 percent of the vote and the remainder split among two other candidates after more than 90 percent of precincts reported. Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, sharpening the ideological contrast with Hong’s progressive platform and contributing to late shifts in turnout patterns across Milwaukee and Dane counties. Because the margin remained under one percentage point with ballots still being tabulated, the Associated Press has not yet projected a nominee. Traders monitoring the “when will AP call” market focus on the pace of remaining vote counts, the geographic distribution of outstanding mail and provisional ballots, and historical AP thresholds for declaring a primary winner in similarly tight Wisconsin races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-12
8月12日凌晨2點前
28%
8月12日凌晨3點前
51%
8月12日凌晨4點之前
50%
8月12日凌晨5點前
50%
8月12日上午10點前
51%
$10 交易量
8月12日凌晨2點前
$0 交易量
28%
8月12日凌晨3點前
$10 交易量
51%
8月12日凌晨4點之前
$0 交易量
50%
8月12日凌晨5點前
$0 交易量
50%
8月12日上午10點前
$0 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an exceptionally close contest between state Representative Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with each holding roughly 40 percent of the vote and the remainder split among two other candidates after more than 90 percent of precincts reported. Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, sharpening the ideological contrast with Hong’s progressive platform and contributing to late shifts in turnout patterns across Milwaukee and Dane counties. Because the margin remained under one percentage point with ballots still being tabulated, the Associated Press has not yet projected a nominee. Traders monitoring the “when will AP call” market focus on the pace of remaining vote counts, the geographic distribution of outstanding mail and provisional ballots, and historical AP thresholds for declaring a primary winner in similarly tight Wisconsin races.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an exceptionally close contest between state Representative Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with each holding roughly 40 percent of the vote and the remainder split among two other candidates after more than 90 percent of precincts reported. Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, sharpening the ideological contrast with Hong’s progressive platform and contributing to late shifts in turnout patterns across Milwaukee and Dane counties. Because the margin remained under one percentage point with ballots still being tabulated, the Associated Press has not yet projected a nominee. Traders monitoring the “when will AP call” market focus on the pace of remaining vote counts, the geographic distribution of outstanding mail and provisional ballots, and historical AP thresholds for declaring a primary winner in similarly tight Wisconsin races.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The August 11 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an exceptionally close contest between state Representative Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with each holding roughly 40 percent of the vote and the remainder split among two other candidates after more than 90 percent of precincts reported. Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, sharpening the ideological contrast with Hong’s progressive platform and contributing to late shifts in turnout patterns across Milwaukee and Dane counties. Because the margin remained under one percentage point with ballots still being tabulated, the Associated Press has not yet projected a nominee. Traders monitoring the “when will AP call” market focus on the pace of remaining vote counts, the geographic distribution of outstanding mail and provisional ballots, and historical AP thresholds for declaring a primary winner in similarly tight Wisconsin races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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