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icon for 另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?

另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?

icon for 另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?

另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$5,668 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$2,104 交易量

95%

12月31日

$3,564 交易量

98%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI's GPT-5 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the "Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" market after GPT-5.4 Pro became the first model to solve an Epoch AI FrontierMath open problem in March 2026, with subsequent GPT-5.6 variants demonstrating additional solutions on unpublished research-level challenges. This reflects OpenAI's edge in scaling large language models for advanced mathematical reasoning, outpacing competitors like Anthropic's Claude Opus and Google's Gemini on FrontierMath tiers where top models now solve 30-40% of postdoc-level problems. Key catalysts ahead include new model releases, benchmark updates from Epoch AI, and any verified autonomous proofs before year-end that could shift market-implied odds among leading labs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
交易量
$5,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.OpenAI's GPT-5 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the "Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" market after GPT-5.4 Pro became the first model to solve an Epoch AI FrontierMath open problem in March 2026, with subsequent GPT-5.6 variants demonstrating additional solutions on unpublished research-level challenges. This reflects OpenAI's edge in scaling large language models for advanced mathematical reasoning, outpacing competitors like Anthropic's Claude Opus and Google's Gemini on FrontierMath tiers where top models now solve 30-40% of postdoc-level problems. Key catalysts ahead include new model releases, benchmark updates from Epoch AI, and any verified autonomous proofs before year-end that could shift market-implied odds among leading labs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
交易量
$5,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 98%, followed by "9月30日" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?" is "12月31日" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "另一個前沿數學問題由...解決?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.