The Salvator Mundi’s 81.5% “No” odds stem primarily from its nearly nine-year absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, with the work confirmed in Geneva storage and no verified exhibition or loan agreements in place. Past plans, including the 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, were indefinitely postponed amid attribution debates and owner preferences, while the intended Riyadh or Al-Ula museum anchors remain under construction with timelines stretching beyond 2026. Art-world observers note the owner’s pattern of prioritizing a permanent cultural centerpiece for Vision 2030 over short-term displays, reinforced by the lack of guild-style previews, institutional announcements, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no late catalysts emerging, traders see limited pathways for a sudden public unveiling.