Traders in this multi-outcome market focus on the prospects for formal arrests of former U.S. officials and public figures before the January 1, 2027 resolution date, amid ongoing Department of Justice scrutiny of prior administrations' actions. Key factors include active or potential grand jury processes involving intelligence community figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, health policy decisions tied to Anthony Fauci, and separate legal matters affecting individuals like Mahmoud Khalil. With roughly four and a half months remaining, the short timeline heightens sensitivity to any new indictments, court filings, or executive branch announcements. Broader context encompasses enforcement priorities under the current administration, historical patterns of accountability proceedings against ex-officials, and procedural hurdles such as venue, evidence thresholds, and appeals that could delay or prevent arrests within the window. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these variables rather than confirmed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$364,926 KL.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
31%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$364,926 KL.
Anthony Fauci
$135,467 KL.
12%
John Brennan
$18,171 KL.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,677 KL.
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 KL.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,805 KL.
1%
James Comey
$9,602 KL.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 KL.
31%
James Clapper
$6,726 KL.
13%
Letitia James
$2,821 KL.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 KL.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,008 KL.
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 KL.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 KL.
8%
Candace Owens
$263 KL.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,157 KL.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 KL.
5%
John Kerry
$346 KL.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 KL.
4%
Tom Homan
$39,428 KL.
11%
Kash Patel
$530 KL.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 KL.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,253 KL.
10%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 KL.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in this multi-outcome market focus on the prospects for formal arrests of former U.S. officials and public figures before the January 1, 2027 resolution date, amid ongoing Department of Justice scrutiny of prior administrations' actions. Key factors include active or potential grand jury processes involving intelligence community figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, health policy decisions tied to Anthony Fauci, and separate legal matters affecting individuals like Mahmoud Khalil. With roughly four and a half months remaining, the short timeline heightens sensitivity to any new indictments, court filings, or executive branch announcements. Broader context encompasses enforcement priorities under the current administration, historical patterns of accountability proceedings against ex-officials, and procedural hurdles such as venue, evidence thresholds, and appeals that could delay or prevent arrests within the window. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these variables rather than confirmed outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$364,926Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in this multi-outcome market focus on the prospects for formal arrests of former U.S. officials and public figures before the January 1, 2027 resolution date, amid ongoing Department of Justice scrutiny of prior administrations' actions. Key factors include active or potential grand jury processes involving intelligence community figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, health policy decisions tied to Anthony Fauci, and separate legal matters affecting individuals like Mahmoud Khalil. With roughly four and a half months remaining, the short timeline heightens sensitivity to any new indictments, court filings, or executive branch announcements. Broader context encompasses enforcement priorities under the current administration, historical patterns of accountability proceedings against ex-officials, and procedural hurdles such as venue, evidence thresholds, and appeals that could delay or prevent arrests within the window. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these variables rather than confirmed outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$364,926Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders in this multi-outcome market focus on the prospects for formal arrests of former U.S. officials and public figures before the January 1, 2027 resolution date, amid ongoing Department of Justice scrutiny of prior administrations' actions. Key factors include active or potential grand jury processes involving intelligence community figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, health policy decisions tied to Anthony Fauci, and separate legal matters affecting individuals like Mahmoud Khalil. With roughly four and a half months remaining, the short timeline heightens sensitivity to any new indictments, court filings, or executive branch announcements. Broader context encompasses enforcement priorities under the current administration, historical patterns of accountability proceedings against ex-officials, and procedural hurdles such as venue, evidence thresholds, and appeals that could delay or prevent arrests within the window. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of these variables rather than confirmed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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