Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Nov 30, 2026
Ra'am
79%
RZP-Zehut
76%
Amcha Yisrael
48%
Reservists and New Economic Party
47%
Blue & White
36%
$15 KL.
Ra'am
$0 KL.
79%
RZP-Zehut
$0 KL.
76%
Amcha Yisrael
$0 KL.
48%
Reservists and New Economic Party
$0 KL.
47%
Blue & White
$15 KL.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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