Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained voter shifts amid the ongoing security environment, judicial reform fallout, and competition from centrist and other right-wing lists. Likud's recent primaries produced a slate dominated by Netanyahu allies, yet most surveys from firms including Kantar and Midgam continue to place the party in a narrow band around 22-23 seats even after the vote. The broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the threshold needed for a majority in nearly all aggregates, while rival parties such as Yashar register comparable or higher support. These patterns underpin traders' assessment that Likud is likely to lose seats when ballots are counted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật89% khả năng
$11,139 KL.
$11,139 KL.
Oct 26, 2026
89% khả năng
$11,139 KL.
$11,139 KL.
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained voter shifts amid the ongoing security environment, judicial reform fallout, and competition from centrist and other right-wing lists. Likud's recent primaries produced a slate dominated by Netanyahu allies, yet most surveys from firms including Kantar and Midgam continue to place the party in a narrow band around 22-23 seats even after the vote. The broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the threshold needed for a majority in nearly all aggregates, while rival parties such as Yashar register comparable or higher support. These patterns underpin traders' assessment that Likud is likely to lose seats when ballots are counted.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,139Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained voter shifts amid the ongoing security environment, judicial reform fallout, and competition from centrist and other right-wing lists. Likud's recent primaries produced a slate dominated by Netanyahu allies, yet most surveys from firms including Kantar and Midgam continue to place the party in a narrow band around 22-23 seats even after the vote. The broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the threshold needed for a majority in nearly all aggregates, while rival parties such as Yashar register comparable or higher support. These patterns underpin traders' assessment that Likud is likely to lose seats when ballots are counted.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$11,139Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained voter shifts amid the ongoing security environment, judicial reform fallout, and competition from centrist and other right-wing lists. Likud's recent primaries produced a slate dominated by Netanyahu allies, yet most surveys from firms including Kantar and Midgam continue to place the party in a narrow band around 22-23 seats even after the vote. The broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc trails the threshold needed for a majority in nearly all aggregates, while rival parties such as Yashar register comparable or higher support. These patterns underpin traders' assessment that Likud is likely to lose seats when ballots are counted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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