The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the next Abgeordnetenhaus and Senate. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner holds power following the 2023 vote but faces a fragmented field where recent polling shows the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each drawing substantial support, often leaving no single bloc with a clear majority. Traders focus on post-election coalition arithmetic, with the current pairing potentially falling short and alternatives such as CDU-Greens or SPD-Left-Greens under discussion. Key variables include turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16, urban district results, and any late shifts driven by local governance critiques or national political momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Dec 31, 2026
Grüne
86%
SPD
86%
Linke
75%
CDU
46%
FDP
7%
BSW
4%
AfD
2%
FW
1%
$4,340 KL.
Grüne
$83 KL.
86%
SPD
$177 KL.
86%
Linke
$833 KL.
75%
CDU
$848 KL.
46%
FDP
$209 KL.
7%
BSW
$280 KL.
4%
AfD
$1,269 KL.
2%
FW
$641 KL.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the next Abgeordnetenhaus and Senate. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner holds power following the 2023 vote but faces a fragmented field where recent polling shows the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each drawing substantial support, often leaving no single bloc with a clear majority. Traders focus on post-election coalition arithmetic, with the current pairing potentially falling short and alternatives such as CDU-Greens or SPD-Left-Greens under discussion. Key variables include turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16, urban district results, and any late shifts driven by local governance critiques or national political momentum.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,340Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the next Abgeordnetenhaus and Senate. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner holds power following the 2023 vote but faces a fragmented field where recent polling shows the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each drawing substantial support, often leaving no single bloc with a clear majority. Traders focus on post-election coalition arithmetic, with the current pairing potentially falling short and alternatives such as CDU-Greens or SPD-Left-Greens under discussion. Key variables include turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16, urban district results, and any late shifts driven by local governance critiques or national political momentum.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Khối lượng
$4,340Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election will determine the composition of the next Abgeordnetenhaus and Senate. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner holds power following the 2023 vote but faces a fragmented field where recent polling shows the CDU, SPD, Greens, Left Party, and AfD each drawing substantial support, often leaving no single bloc with a clear majority. Traders focus on post-election coalition arithmetic, with the current pairing potentially falling short and alternatives such as CDU-Greens or SPD-Left-Greens under discussion. Key variables include turnout among younger voters newly eligible at 16, urban district results, and any late shifts driven by local governance critiques or national political momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp