The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting and the incumbent's move to another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff backed by the DCCC and Blue Dog Coalition, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of sitting Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement. The 2025 GOP-led map shifted the San Antonio-area, Hispanic-majority district to an R+4 partisan voting index, creating a targeted Republican opportunity in what was previously a stronger Democratic seat. With the November 2026 general election roughly three months away and no dominant recent polling available, trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, reflecting Garcia's law-and-order positioning, underlying district demographics, and observed shifts among Hispanic voters that have narrowed the structural Republican advantage from redistricting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
58%
Republican Party
43%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,585 KL.
58%
Republican Party
$3,981 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting and the incumbent's move to another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff backed by the DCCC and Blue Dog Coalition, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of sitting Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement. The 2025 GOP-led map shifted the San Antonio-area, Hispanic-majority district to an R+4 partisan voting index, creating a targeted Republican opportunity in what was previously a stronger Democratic seat. With the November 2026 general election roughly three months away and no dominant recent polling available, trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, reflecting Garcia's law-and-order positioning, underlying district demographics, and observed shifts among Hispanic voters that have narrowed the structural Republican advantage from redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,566Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting and the incumbent's move to another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff backed by the DCCC and Blue Dog Coalition, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of sitting Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement. The 2025 GOP-led map shifted the San Antonio-area, Hispanic-majority district to an R+4 partisan voting index, creating a targeted Republican opportunity in what was previously a stronger Democratic seat. With the November 2026 general election roughly three months away and no dominant recent polling available, trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, reflecting Garcia's law-and-order positioning, underlying district demographics, and observed shifts among Hispanic voters that have narrowed the structural Republican advantage from redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,566Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting and the incumbent's move to another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff backed by the DCCC and Blue Dog Coalition, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of sitting Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement. The 2025 GOP-led map shifted the San Antonio-area, Hispanic-majority district to an R+4 partisan voting index, creating a targeted Republican opportunity in what was previously a stronger Democratic seat. With the November 2026 general election roughly three months away and no dominant recent polling available, trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge, reflecting Garcia's law-and-order positioning, underlying district demographics, and observed shifts among Hispanic voters that have narrowed the structural Republican advantage from redistricting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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