Recent primary turnout near 36% of registered voters and South Dakota’s historical midterm patterns around 53% in 2022 signal moderate engagement for the November 3 general election in this low-salience Senate contest. With registered voters exceeding 599,000 and a non-competitive race featuring strong Republican incumbent positioning, trader pricing across multiple turnout bins reflects uncertainty over mobilization levels among core supporters and independents. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include limited campaign spending intensity, typical off-year voter fatigue, and absence of high-profile ballot measures or national coattails. Separation could emerge from stronger late-cycle get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in registration trends, or unexpected national events boosting overall participation before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSouth Dakota Senate Election: Turnout
South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout
275K-300K 44%
400K+ 44%
<250K 44%
250K-275K 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
44%
250K-275K
44%
275K-300K
44%
300K-325K
44%
325K-350K
44%
350K-375K
44%
375K-400K
44%
400K+
44%
275K-300K 44%
400K+ 44%
<250K 44%
250K-275K 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
$0 KL.
44%
250K-275K
$0 KL.
44%
275K-300K
$0 KL.
44%
300K-325K
$0 KL.
44%
325K-350K
$0 KL.
44%
350K-375K
$0 KL.
44%
375K-400K
$0 KL.
44%
400K+
$0 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary turnout near 36% of registered voters and South Dakota’s historical midterm patterns around 53% in 2022 signal moderate engagement for the November 3 general election in this low-salience Senate contest. With registered voters exceeding 599,000 and a non-competitive race featuring strong Republican incumbent positioning, trader pricing across multiple turnout bins reflects uncertainty over mobilization levels among core supporters and independents. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include limited campaign spending intensity, typical off-year voter fatigue, and absence of high-profile ballot measures or national coattails. Separation could emerge from stronger late-cycle get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in registration trends, or unexpected national events boosting overall participation before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary turnout near 36% of registered voters and South Dakota’s historical midterm patterns around 53% in 2022 signal moderate engagement for the November 3 general election in this low-salience Senate contest. With registered voters exceeding 599,000 and a non-competitive race featuring strong Republican incumbent positioning, trader pricing across multiple turnout bins reflects uncertainty over mobilization levels among core supporters and independents. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include limited campaign spending intensity, typical off-year voter fatigue, and absence of high-profile ballot measures or national coattails. Separation could emerge from stronger late-cycle get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in registration trends, or unexpected national events boosting overall participation before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary turnout near 36% of registered voters and South Dakota’s historical midterm patterns around 53% in 2022 signal moderate engagement for the November 3 general election in this low-salience Senate contest. With registered voters exceeding 599,000 and a non-competitive race featuring strong Republican incumbent positioning, trader pricing across multiple turnout bins reflects uncertainty over mobilization levels among core supporters and independents. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include limited campaign spending intensity, typical off-year voter fatigue, and absence of high-profile ballot measures or national coattails. Separation could emerge from stronger late-cycle get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in registration trends, or unexpected national events boosting overall participation before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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