Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and opus-5 variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and human preference votes, leaving a tight contest for second place. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, Google’s Gemini 3.7/3.8 Flash models, and several Chinese labs clustered near even odds, driven by rapid iteration cycles and benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Key swing factors include pending frontier releases, potential gains from larger context windows or specialized training, and volatility in Elo scores from new human votes. With resolution two months away, any major model update from OpenAI or Google could quickly reorder the mid-tier rankings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 48%
Anthropic 24%
Google 22%
Alibaba 5%
$49,334 KL.
$49,334 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
48%
Anthropic
24%
22%
Alibaba
5%
Baidu
2%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 48%
Anthropic 24%
Google 22%
Alibaba 5%
$49,334 KL.
$49,334 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$3,336 KL.
48%
Anthropic
$3,598 KL.
24%
$31,800 KL.
22%
Alibaba
$1,311 KL.
5%
Baidu
$567 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$659 KL.
1%
Moonshot
$561 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$596 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$557 KL.
1%
Meta
$571 KL.
1%
Xiaomi
$538 KL.
1%
Meituan
$889 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$606 KL.
1%
StepFun
$591 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$603 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$588 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$737 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$336 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and opus-5 variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and human preference votes, leaving a tight contest for second place. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, Google’s Gemini 3.7/3.8 Flash models, and several Chinese labs clustered near even odds, driven by rapid iteration cycles and benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Key swing factors include pending frontier releases, potential gains from larger context windows or specialized training, and volatility in Elo scores from new human votes. With resolution two months away, any major model update from OpenAI or Google could quickly reorder the mid-tier rankings.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$49,334Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and opus-5 variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and human preference votes, leaving a tight contest for second place. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, Google’s Gemini 3.7/3.8 Flash models, and several Chinese labs clustered near even odds, driven by rapid iteration cycles and benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Key swing factors include pending frontier releases, potential gains from larger context windows or specialized training, and volatility in Elo scores from new human votes. With resolution two months away, any major model update from OpenAI or Google could quickly reorder the mid-tier rankings.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$49,334Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and opus-5 variants, currently dominates the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and human preference votes, leaving a tight contest for second place. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, Google’s Gemini 3.7/3.8 Flash models, and several Chinese labs clustered near even odds, driven by rapid iteration cycles and benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Key swing factors include pending frontier releases, potential gains from larger context windows or specialized training, and volatility in Elo scores from new human votes. With resolution two months away, any major model update from OpenAI or Google could quickly reorder the mid-tier rankings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp