**AfD's sustained lead in Saxony-Anhalt Landtag polls, consistently above 40 percent since mid-2025 and recently at 41-43 percent versus CDU's 22-23 percent, underpins the near-certain trader consensus on its victory.** Long-term gains for the party, driven by regional voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic issues in eastern Germany, have widened the gap from the 2021 result. Incumbent CDU-led coalition fatigue and the party's classification as far-right extremist by state authorities have further consolidated AfD support around candidate Ulrich Siegmund. With the September 6, 2026 election underway, smaller parties hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold raise the prospect of an outright AfD majority in the 83-seat Landtag. Late turnout shifts or unexpected swings remain the primary variables that could still alter the final seat distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Sachsen-Anhalt
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
Đảng Cánh tả <1%
BSW <1%
$942,396 KL.
$942,396 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
100%
CDU
<1%
Đảng Cánh tả
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
Đảng Xanh
<1%
AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
Đảng Cánh tả <1%
BSW <1%
$942,396 KL.
$942,396 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
$129,187 KL.
100%
CDU
$520,969 KL.
<1%
Đảng Cánh tả
$47,106 KL.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 KL.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 KL.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 KL.
<1%
Đảng Xanh
$56,851 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**AfD's sustained lead in Saxony-Anhalt Landtag polls, consistently above 40 percent since mid-2025 and recently at 41-43 percent versus CDU's 22-23 percent, underpins the near-certain trader consensus on its victory.** Long-term gains for the party, driven by regional voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic issues in eastern Germany, have widened the gap from the 2021 result. Incumbent CDU-led coalition fatigue and the party's classification as far-right extremist by state authorities have further consolidated AfD support around candidate Ulrich Siegmund. With the September 6, 2026 election underway, smaller parties hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold raise the prospect of an outright AfD majority in the 83-seat Landtag. Late turnout shifts or unexpected swings remain the primary variables that could still alter the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$942,396Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**AfD's sustained lead in Saxony-Anhalt Landtag polls, consistently above 40 percent since mid-2025 and recently at 41-43 percent versus CDU's 22-23 percent, underpins the near-certain trader consensus on its victory.** Long-term gains for the party, driven by regional voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic issues in eastern Germany, have widened the gap from the 2021 result. Incumbent CDU-led coalition fatigue and the party's classification as far-right extremist by state authorities have further consolidated AfD support around candidate Ulrich Siegmund. With the September 6, 2026 election underway, smaller parties hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold raise the prospect of an outright AfD majority in the 83-seat Landtag. Late turnout shifts or unexpected swings remain the primary variables that could still alter the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$942,396Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD's sustained lead in Saxony-Anhalt Landtag polls, consistently above 40 percent since mid-2025 and recently at 41-43 percent versus CDU's 22-23 percent, underpins the near-certain trader consensus on its victory.** Long-term gains for the party, driven by regional voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic issues in eastern Germany, have widened the gap from the 2021 result. Incumbent CDU-led coalition fatigue and the party's classification as far-right extremist by state authorities have further consolidated AfD support around candidate Ulrich Siegmund. With the September 6, 2026 election underway, smaller parties hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold raise the prospect of an outright AfD majority in the 83-seat Landtag. Late turnout shifts or unexpected swings remain the primary variables that could still alter the final seat distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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